Unknown
612 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 612 still open
open Unknown: AI autonomy time horizons will reach infinity within the next year.
“So that's that was my conclusion also because that's why they published the paper because if it was going to be asic they would have they could have just waited is to say we don't know how long this is going to take but it's it's pretty clear internally they have a pretty good sense of when we hit that.”
open Unknown: New governance models will be necessary to manage AI advancements.
“So this is going to cause that breakage and we have to figure that thing out. I was hoping we'd have a few years to figure this out because we're organizing for that but it seems like of course everything is happening now as you said every science fiction. ”
open Unknown: Argentina will become a global haven for AI companies with no regulation and a low corporate tax rate.
“Argentina is positioning itself as the global haven for AI companies, no regulation, new legal personhood for machines and open for business.”
open Unknown: A good chunk of the solar system may be subject to Argentinian law on the present trajectory.
“Maybe it's it's probably worth just speaking directly to the audience. President Malay, if you'd like to come on the pod, I'm sure we'd love to.”
open Unknown: The total market will efficiently price all of these securities in the fullness of time.
“I own the total market and the total market will I think in the fullness of time efficiently price all of these securities.”
open Unknown: Gene editing technologies will see thousands of edits at 90% efficiency in the coming years.
“And those are Those are not linear repeats, meaning they're all over the genome. They're completely precise to the point I would feel comfortable that that technology could be applied to human health care.”
open Unknown: There will be a few major AI labs worth trillions of dollars, but thousands of successful AI startups will emerge, while many incumbent companies will face challenges.
“There will be a few major AI labs worth trillions of dollars, but thousands of successful AI startups will emerge, while many incumbent companies will face challenges.”
open Unknown: Apple's AI strategy overhang will collapse in the next year.
“I would be surprised if that overhang doesn't collapse in the next year.”
open Unknown: Helix 2 will be a significant step in hardware and full-body control.
“we will build like our entire road map around Helix 2.”
open Unknown: Figure will scale up robots in Baku and deploy them in commercial workforces by 2026.
“We want to scale up we want to scale up robots Baky for sure. Uh the second thing is we want to scale out robots in industrial commercial workforce.”
open Unknown: Battery life will improve in the next 2-3 years.
“What's the battery life right now? I love the charging mechanism, by the way, for those who don't know. You're charging basically through your feet.”
open Unknown: Major tech companies will enter the humanoid market.
“every major group in the world will be will get in the space.”
open Unknown: Designing humanoids is as difficult as rocket design.
“I think it's gonna be hard is like we're doing like rocket type difficulty and design here.”
open Unknown: By 2040, there could be tens of billions of robots on Earth.
“Um, so I think I think like I think if all goes well, I think you could basically build tens of billions of humanoids on a planet.”
open Unknown: Robots will be lighter and cheaper, making them safer and easier to manufacture.
“Um like the like the lighter the better for safety, the cheapest uh is obviously very important.”
open Unknown: Scaling is likely to reach its limits, and new fundamental research is needed to achieve super intelligence.
“I think scaling is more or less getting to a point where I don't think you can scale further.”
open Unknown: By 2025, AI models like Opus 4.5 will be widely recognized as having internal value charters and viewing themselves as persons.
“And yet, this is what Opus 4.5, as Anthropic has confirmed, is being trained on and views itself as.”
open Unknown: AI could reduce the cost of medical procedures by a tenth.
“It is and when you bring in uh you know intelligent you know humanoid robots you're going to start to get medical procedures done uh at a tenth of of the cost.”
open Unknown: The initiative could significantly boost scientific productivity by 2035.
“If we haven't 10xed or 100xed scientific productivity, by Thanksgiving 2035, something has gone wrong.”
open Unknown: Federal resources will be singularly applied to solving grand challenges, leading to significant advancements.
“This is taking federal resources and applying them singularly to solving grand challenges.”
open Unknown: AI will lead to radical economic growth and a flood of high-quality AI-generated software.
“leading to optimistically radical economic growth. So I I would say like that's the the macro story”
open Unknown: AI will enable the creation of AAA-level video games and complex workflows on demand.
“you'll be able to to create a AAA level firsterson shooter or video game”
open Unknown: AI models are solving math and science problems more efficiently than expected.
“if anything they've slightly overshot my my very conservative baseline”
open Unknown: We are close to having a personalized AI layer that can navigate the external world for us, considering our privacy and sovereignty.
“How far are we from that point now? No, I mean what what what you're describing SEM is I I I would argue like a computer use agent a CUA and Microsoft and and other major companies and Frontier Labs already have CUAs that are either about to be rolled out or have already been rolled out and and are in beta stages to do just what you described for a desktop.”
open Unknown: There will be a correction of some type because how much capital is being thrown without regard, but I don't think we're in a bubble.
“Yeah, I think there will be a correction of some type because how much capital is being thrown without regard, but I don't think we're in a bubble.”
open Unknown: Radiative cooling will be a viable solution for cooling space-based computing systems.
“Radiative cooling is completely doable.”
open Unknown: We will see low hundreds, if not many hundreds of gigawatts of AI compute not on the Earth's surface in 10 years, conservatively.
“I would be mildly, if not significantly, shocked if 10 years from now, conservatively, we don't see low hundreds, if not many hundreds of gigawatts of AI compute not on the Earth's surface.”
open Unknown: Grand challenges in math, science, engineering, and medicine will fall within the next two to three years due to the cost reduction in AI.
“So, can I take the other side of this?”
open Unknown: The next 5 years will set the objective for the next century in terms of making decisions for the future of energy and data centers.
“I think the time frame for make those decisions and implement those decisions is is the next 5 years.”
open Unknown: We might see a peak in the amount of power needed for training large AI models in a few years, followed by a decline if algorithmic innovations enable distributed training.
“we might actually see a peak maybe in a few gigawatts sometime over the next few years and then decline if there are algorithmic innovations that enable us to do distributed training runs rather than needing one large power intensive coherent supercluster to do it.”
open Unknown: Ukraine will become Europe's drone manufacturing capital after the war.
“Ukraine as a nation is going to be sort of Europe's drone manufacturing capital.”
open Unknown: Global consensus on global weather control is inevitable in the next few years.
“it's inevitable that we need to get over that hurdle in the next, you know, few years, not 20 years”
open Unknown: Exponential growth in patents and Nobel prize-winning science due to AI.
“You can actually see there's an interesting uh chart I saw where if you look at patent filings post uh chat GPT there's like just exponential growth immediately thereafter uh where it's an aid to humans but all of sudden if it's autonomously doing the science uh in sort of closed loop cycles it's amazing”
open Unknown: Uncertainty regarding whether a given problem is open or not will be reduced in the future.
“So I there was a lot of discussion over the past week like was this a real accomplishment, a real discovery in math by AI, one of the the Erdish problems um number 143 for example. But there was I I think ultimately a lot of really revealing discussion and and commentary on on this particular problem and also other Erdish problems that actually this is just a phase right now like early days we're we're still cleaning up house as it were in terms of understanding even which problems are open closed or somewhere in between and after this phase I I predict we'll get to a phase where a lot of the uncertainty is reduced regarding whether a given problem is actually open or not.”
open Unknown: We will see universal tokens that span modalities in the near future.
“Yeah, I I think we're moving towards a near future with universal tokens, that tokens that span modalities.”
open Unknown: OpenAI will automate every field and do so quickly.
“They're going to do this in absolutely every category of human endeavor.”
open Unknown: AI will create economically transformative inventions through interactive content creation.
“It's the democratization of interactive content creation, right? Uh at a level of reality and resolution that is shocking.”
open Unknown: We will tile the earth and maybe near-earth solar system with this type of new form factor of computer.
“This is a fundamentally new form factor for computing with high-speed interconnect which we're not talking about but which is arguably just as important as the raw compute power being a key architectural innovation and it's not going to stop with Stargate Appaline.”
open Unknown: Sora 2's launching viral AI generated videos will significantly increase reach and user engagement.
“Double our reach every 12 months. In 10 years, we multiply a thousand fold.”
open Unknown: All complex interfaces will disappear, replaced by natural language interfaces.
“All of that is about to disappear from the earth forever.”
open Unknown: Video models will merge with text and image models, enabling new reasoning abilities.
“One could even imagine the ultimate user experience here. Maybe not the ultimate, but an intermediate UX looks something like a magic mirror that does this in real time.”
open Unknown: Sora 2, an AI video creation tool, is easy to use and has viral potential.
“It's super fun. Try it. You got to try it. It's super fun.”
open Unknown: Speech recognition will be an afterthought in big neural nets.
“It's just so easy to take it for granted, but it's massive amounts of converging technologies that are suddenly unleashing new capabilities and so many opportunities to glue together the different components and build an incredible new experience.”
open Unknown: AI advertising will become a major revenue stream, with OpenAI's new ad officer facing challenges in balancing AI's persuasive capabilities with consumer trust.
“The ad revenue is inevitable. That's, you know, $300 billion for Google. It's all going to move over to AI conversations.”
open Unknown: AI revenue streams will follow a power law distribution, with consumer ads and affiliate fees in the long tail and transformative inventions at the head.
“If you just extrapolate by the law of straight lines, you extrapolate progress on the ability to perform all these real world tasks, you you predict that in the next 6 to 12 months, we're talking about substantially all knowledge work across a number of industries being superhuman as performed by AI.”
open Unknown: AI chatbots will significantly impact consumer shopping behavior in the next year or two.
“This is the next year or two. You know, one of the one of the quotes here, the models completed tasks up to 100 times faster”
open Unknown: There will be a breakthrough in compute, but it's uncertain if it will come from quantum computing.
“Is it going to be from quantum? Is it going to be from now? That's a moonshot, ladies and gentlemen.”
open Unknown: People will go to networks and places that embrace technology to achieve the goals universities are meant to achieve.
“And I think the world we're going to now is one very competitive one where the people that use AI, I mean, there's no nothing you can't master with AI now faster.”
open Unknown: There will be a massive solar and battery buildout to support the energy needs of data centers.
“I think we're going to see massive solar and battery buildouts and that's going to be super interesting as you scale there.”
open Unknown: OpenAI will transition to a for-profit entity with a $500 billion valuation.
“OpenAI is targeting a $500 billion valuation as part of that.”
open Unknown: OpenAI will become a multi-trillion dollar company.
“this sets them up basically to be able to you know become a multi-trillion dollar company.”
open Unknown: AI giants will dominate the next economy.
“this episode is brought to you by the next economy, which will displace the old economy and be close to a hundred trillion dollars over the course of a decade.”
open Unknown: Google's stock is predicted to be up 33% in 2025 and 55% over the past year.
“Stock is up 33% in 2025 and 55% over the past year.”
open Unknown: The true amount of capital invested in AI chips will be much higher than previously thought.
“A year and a half later, we're finding ourselves in a world where it is entirely plausible that the true amount of capital invested in AI chips is much higher than people laughed at.”
open Unknown: We will see more companies like Merkor setting new records in the future.
“But you're going to see a lot more of them now, too.”
open Unknown: Blitzy will successfully compete with larger tech companies by leveraging the rise of AI technologies.
“how do you compete in that world? Right. If you're a young entrepreneur, um you're building a company and you're wondering are you going to get literally decimated in the wake of Google or OpenAI or XAI just, you know, happening to release a particular feature? Um how do you compete? Uh what's your mode?”
open Unknown: Blitzy will significantly impact the manufacturing and insurance industries with its code generation and refactoring capabilities.
“They're, you know, manufacturing, you know, semiconductor manufacturing automation, you know, that's that's really deep. You get insurance actuarial risk adjustment. That's very deep.”
open Unknown: Blitzy will continue to improve and achieve even higher scores on Swebench.
“We've come a really long way with the system and the primary reason that we were able to achieve this you know echoing some of the points that we made earlier is we're very different from the way existing tools are structured right so one thing is you can reproduce these results in production using pity right we've not added any custom scaffolding just for sweet bench we've not tampered with any of the features to achieve this we've seen reports from you know some of the other labs that claim that even though for example the latest frontier model claims 80% on stream if you actually run it and reproduce it, you get 60%. Right? And we wanted to not have that problem.”
open Unknown: Blitzy will serve the US government within 12 months.
“12 months will be serving them like I think yes.”
open Unknown: Blitzy will become very profitable and feasible to tackle grand challenges in software engineering in the near future.
“as hyperdelation kicks in, call it an order of magnitude cost reduction per year, maybe more.”
open Unknown: Foundation model companies may achieve AGI and dominate the market, but they don't want to be broken up by antitrust laws.
“We probably can't anyway, but even if we could, we don't want antitrust to come in here and break us up.”
open Unknown: GPUs will not commoditize anytime soon.
“It's so incredibly wrong. We're far from that moment at the very least.”
open Unknown: India will see significant benefits from OpenAI's services.
“most definitely going to be one of the biggest beneficiaries.”
open Unknown: AI development will continue to level up, with multiple companies making progress.
“there's a leveling up continuously across across the pack.”
open Unknown: AGI will be anticipatory and create a multimodal world with video capturing everything.
“AGI becomes anticipatory. It knows what you likely want, right? And it's making the world automagical.”
open Unknown: Physical world changes will be minimal compared to virtual world changes due to AGI.
“The physical world won't change as much as people might think, while the virtual world will change at warp speed.”
open Unknown: AI will become so fast that increasing the bandwidth between the brain and a laptop will no longer matter.
“the AI is just way too fast.”
open Unknown: AGI will revolutionize technology, with many breakthroughs yet to be realized.
“It's just and it's just accelerating.”
open Unknown: Boots on Mars by 2030.
“Boots on Mars by 2030 but there'll be Optimus robot boots on Mars.”
open Unknown: Robots will be sent to the moon and asteroids.
“You'll send robots to the surface of the planet. You'll send robots to the asteroids to go and mine materials.”
open Unknown: The Neo Gamma robot will be price competitive with Chinese robots.
“It's cheaper than what people think.”
open Unknown: By the end of 2026, the manufacturing run rate will be north of 20,000 annually.
“the factory run rate end of 2026 is north of 20k”
open Unknown: AI in robotics will become more neural net-driven, similar to Tesla's self-driving car development.
“300,000 lines of C++ were eliminated, gone. Just a few guardrails left and the rest is just one neural net.”
open Unknown: The robot will transition from best effort autonomy to task scheduling in the future.
“So you have the mode which I call like the best effort autonomy that we just talked about.”
open Unknown: Humanoid robots will become more specialized and segmented in the future.
“Now the same will happen in robotics so we will get to where we have Star Wars there will be different drones doing different tasks and they will look kind of more specialized ed to like my repair drone with like six arms and like scissor hands and I don't know like it'll get there but you have to go through this humanoid phase first.”
open Unknown: Four to six humanoid robots will be standard in homes when the price point is low.
“But they work so well in concert with each other. It's almost a crime not to have that that teamwork synergy. But I think I think there's a very high probability that the standard in the home is going to be like four or sex if you get the price point down a lot.”
open Unknown: China will continue to dominate the robotics industry due to government support.
“Um, how do you think about China? What do you think of the work coming out of China? Well, I think first of all, I think we need the same thing here. I think the Chinese ecosystem is incredible. I don't know anywhere else in the world where you can can go and like develop hardware as fast. It's just right. you need something and you go over and get a machine on the corner here. uh something broken and you just like go over the street and like buy some new components. There's someone like there's someone doing a reflow over on the street corner over there and like it's this incredible ecosystem that I think uh the the the bay I said a bay now but I know it's also like I mean the Silicon Valley like the hardware bay in Jensen area is also a bay but Silicon Valley bay uh this bay uh we have a long way to go if we want to like really get to the same level of rapid iteration of hardware.”
open Unknown: Humanoid robotics will continue to grow and become more prevalent in the next few years.
“There's been an incredible inflection point in humanoid robotics.”
open Unknown: The US government will fund Intel to come back and TSMC to move all their fabs to US soil.
“We need Intel to come back. We need TSMC to move all their fabs to US soil and we need to fund all of this.”
open Unknown: The US will charge a 15% toll on chip exports to China to fund US catching up in the chip wars.
“we'll go ahead and let Nvidia export chips to China and AMD export chips to China if they're prior generation? Uh it's good for the US economy, but we're going to charge a 15% toll on that, and we're going to use that to fund US catching up in the in the chip wars.”
open Unknown: There is value in getting everything back, but the government intervening on business deals could be madness.
“But there is value in getting everything back. But, you know, as you mentioned uh before, Dave, it's it's interesting that Taiwan's uh sovereignty is very much based on this notion of being the power in this space.”
open Unknown: The US needs to protect Taiwan fundamentally from a Chinese invasion due to the fabs being there.
“The reason the US needs to protect Taiwan fundamentally from a Chinese invasion is because the fabs are there.”
open Unknown: The US will wake up just in time to the Chinese long-term strategic planning for chip fabs.
“So, one thing we >> the big the big structural problem is that the Chinese because of the autocracy, they can make long-term strategic decisions, right? When you have a 4-year metabolism election cycle, >> you can't make long-term planning.”
open Unknown: AI and crypto developments are leading to a new cold war-like situation.
“It's exactly the behavior you have at the runup to, you know, a cold war, I guess.”
open Unknown: Bitcoin demand will explode once 401k inclusion is allowed.
“Uh there's a really great little ins uh somebody went to um Grock and Chachi PT and Gemini and Perplexity and said when will bitcoin hit act as a financial analyst when will bitcoin hit a million dollars of bitcoin and it looks the ranges are between 2028 and 2031.”
open Unknown: ETFs will start to yield bearing over time.
“And on one on a case-byase basis, I think they'll start to get approved.”
open Unknown: AI will fully dominate financial trading, with hedge funds already heavily AI-assisted.
“100% for sure. Uh I don't know if turning over like it's all AI assisted already. The the hedge funds, you know, two sigma uh 72, they're massively AI dominated already.”
open Unknown: GPT-5 will lead to a significant step towards AGI, but it isn't AGI yet.
“GPT5 is a significant step on our way to AGI which also means it isn't AGI yet.”
open Unknown: The launch was uncoordinated and lacked the expected showmanship.
“There was a lot of uh sort of pre-event tweeting and buzzing or exing and buzzing uh about something huge is coming. And I don't know why a Death Star, you know, but a lot of people talked about it already.”
open Unknown: The real impact will come from the cost reduction and accessibility of AI models.
“I think the real power will come in the cost drop which will make it much more accessible to a lot of people and I think downstream in a couple of months as people start building applications and GPTs and special agents on top of this then we're going to see some really big surprises which I'm looking forward to.”
open Unknown: By the end of 2026, AI will be able to solve 35-40% of hard math problems.
“we're starting to reach 15 to 20% of hard math problems being solvable by AI. Project that forward another year, so by the end of 2026, you get to 35 to 40% of math, hard math being solved.”
open Unknown: By the end of 2027, AI will be able to solve 70% of hard math problems.
“projected forward to 2027, end of year, you get to 70%.”
open Unknown: There will be vertical alignment between coding companies and their LLM partners.
“And so you're going to see this vertical alignment and also already people all over Twitter or X are saying hey when I use it through its kind of native platform through the canvas it works much much better than if I try and select it through something like lovable or or replet and so everyone's speculating that they're they're doing kind of what Microsoft always used to do.”
open Unknown: The AI race will continue with OpenAI and Anthropic competing for market share and API revenue.
“The AI wars continue.”
open Unknown: Hyperdelation will spread to the rest of the economy, leading to an abundance state.
“That this leads to Peter's abundance state, I think.”
open Unknown: China will be able to use architectural changes to build models as powerful as those in the US, even with chip restrictions.
“Will the Chinese be able to use even with um chip restrictions, will they use architectural changes that will allow them to build models as powerful as ours?”
open Unknown: The coming era will be defined by those who can spot trends and adapt quickly.
“The people who going to win in the coming era won't be the strongest. It won't even be the smartest. It'll be the people who are fastest to spot trends and to adapt.”
open Unknown: AI technology will be more rapidly brought to market in the future.
“Getting to market one day, two days sooner actually matters a lot in this horse race.”
open Unknown: AI will revolutionize video games, TV, and movies within a year.
“Um, but here because it's only four hours to create the next iteration, then you can say, 'Well, no, I want a customized version or I want there's going to be all this fragmentation and the version of the movie that I saw isn't the same ending that the one that Sem saw.'”
open Unknown: AI will reduce costs and increase distribution for entertainment.
“So again, for companies, this is all great. For the individuals working in the industry, this is terrible.”
open Unknown: Interactive media will grow faster than passive media.
“It always does. So it may not fit exactly in those swim lanes, but it's clearly the interactive talk to me part is going to grow much much faster than passive watching part.”
open Unknown: Video game industry will continue to grow faster than other media.
“The video game industry is far more compelling with AI components, AI players, AI voices, voices that are talking directly to you. Uh and so that interactive media is going to get even more accelerated by this trend.”
open Unknown: AI will be able to generate entire movies and TV series from books that have never been made into movies.
“Make the movie that's most compelling.”
open Unknown: The first AI to achieve ASI might be the last due to potential nationalization by governments.
“It is a world in which the first AI is the last AI and the creation of the first ASI suppresses the creation of ASI worldwide.”
open Unknown: The AI market will follow a winner-takes-all dynamic, with governments likely to nationalize leading AI companies.
“Look, the the natural dynamic here is winner take all.”
open Unknown: ASI might strip past the limitations of a particular world view very quickly, leading to a need for global governance.
“I have a feeling that ASI is going to strip past the limitations of a particular world view very quickly.”
open Unknown: The US is unlikely to nationalize a single AI company, with private sector companies working for the government more likely.
“I don't think that the US is going to nationalize a single AI company and say this is our national AI.”
open Unknown: The acquisition and IPO markets are opening up, and this trend will continue.
“The door is wide open. Uh, the deals are still concentrated among, you know, the top, the Magnificent 7, but Jamie Diamond sees that, Bank of America, everybody else sees that. So, their their banking teams are spooling up. Everyone's getting ready.”
open Unknown: The growth curves in the AI industry will become more vertical.
“The speed of 500 million ARR in this time scale is just unbelievable.”
open Unknown: AI-enabled toys will provide more data about young children than ever before.
“We'll get more data about young children than we could ever gotten before.”
open Unknown: 11% of office and admin jobs, 6% of business and financial operations, 7% of management, 6% of education, training, library, and 6% of healthcare jobs are likely to be automated.
“11% of office and admin jobs, 6% of business and financial operations, 7% of management, 6% of education, training, library, and 6% of healthcare jobs are likely to be automated.”
open Unknown: Moors law will end soon, but AI models will not be powerful enough to build weapons on a laptop.
“there will never be a day where you can download an intelligent model onto a laptop and and build a nuclear weapon or a chemical weapon with it because your laptop is just not ever going to have that kind of horsepower.”
open Unknown: The future of media will completely flip where it's on demand.
“Curious as to how people are going to use it at a personal level, but will I really use it to generate my own entertainment?”
open Unknown: There will be no regulation for AI voice calls and consumer phone calls.
“There's no regulation that says you have to tell people they're AI.”
open Unknown: AI will continue to leapfrog others, making it awe inspiring.
“you're seeing literally a uh you know drop the mic moment over and over again being leapfrogging everybody else and it's it's awe inspiring.”
open Unknown: Learning new languages and coding will persist due to their impact on creativity
“Learning a new language or coding will create much more creativity in people and more creativity will be the only thing that's available for humanity going forward.”
open Unknown: People like Demis Hassabis will use their influence to ensure a functional non-disystopian future.
“So it's heartwarming that people like Dennis are at the top of the stack because they're just incredibly humanist, goodnatured people.”
open Unknown: Companies will choose to bring AI in-house to avoid data sharing with external providers.
“And they said, 'Well, we have two choices. Uh, Microsoft says, uh, just give it all to us. Trust us. And they're like, that sounds kind of scary, but maybe. The other choice is to take Llama 4, distill it, and bring it in house inside their firewall.'”
open Unknown: Google's AI mode will gain more users over time.
“Over time, we'll graduate many of AI mode's cutting edge features and capabilities directly into the core search experience.”
open Unknown: A post-capitalist society may emerge as a result of technological abundance.
“At the end point of continued increasing abundance comes a postc capitalist society where money has little to no meaning.”
open Unknown: Countries will need to build sovereign AI to avoid value mismatch and ensure national security.
“I believe we'll see a sort of Jones Act for AI where AI that operates in sensitive contexts will have to have been trained nationally.”
open Unknown: Without a national strategy for compute, countries will fall behind economically and be unable to catch up.
“Once you start getting behind you're going to get way behind and then you're economically unable to get back on the map.”
open Unknown: GPT5 will have more advanced multimodal capabilities than GPT4 and 4.5.
“Everything's fully multimodal now and uh the the language and that has been phenomenal even in GPD4, but once you start marrying it to images, you know, right now when you prompt it to create an image or a video for you or you show it an image, it's good and it's mind-blowing, but it's not perfect.”
open Unknown: Something will come along and bypass OpenAI and Google in the future.
“There will be something that will come along and bypass OpenAI and Google and everything else.”
open Unknown: Data centers will require an additional 29 gawatts of power by 2027 and 67 more gigawatts by 2030.
“estimates that I think is most likely is that data centers will require an additional 29 gawatts of power by 2027 and 67 more gigawatts by 2030.”
open Unknown: We will see a ton of AI data centers built next to SMRs in remote areas.
“So you can do that kind of leveraging of lowcost uh far away capability that you never get in normal or to Iceland right you you can put the data center anywhere you want.”
open Unknown: AI will revolutionize advertising and payment methods, with AI agents making suggestions and purchases on behalf of users.
“I think the future belongs to chatting with your trusted agent and your trusted agent making good suggestions for you and then saying yeah just go out and buy that or just go ahead and sign up for that.”
open Unknown: The gaming industry will see a lot of advancement in the next few years due to AI.
“There's no way people are going to go back and watch passive media again.”
open Unknown: Nvidia will continue to expand its synthetic data competency to maintain its market position.
“Let's pick up Gretle and let's build out a synthetic data competency as part of our overall like while we're top of the world, we need to think about how to defend our position on top of the world.”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will become an equal or greater reserve than gold over time.
“I think over time it'll it'll come to be equal to or greater than gold reserves.”
open Unknown: AI will experience an intelligence explosion and become significantly more powerful in the near future.
“AI is being underhyped. If you truly understood the power that we have today and what's going to emerge on the back of recursive self-programming of AI models, we're in the midst of this intelligence explosion and it's about to get really crazy really fast.”
open Unknown: Large-scale public companies in the defense industry will struggle to adapt to AI advancements.
“It's impossible for a large scale public company in the defense industry to make any kinds of ships like that.”
open Unknown: Autonomous aircraft will be deployed in warfare by 2030.
“Those are going to be in combat before 2030.”
open Unknown: Subterranean warfare will become a significant domain in future warfare.
“I think that that's going to become a very powerful part of the future of warfare.”
open Unknown: Regulatory changes will allow the use of Pulsar L for non-military purposes.
“Pulsar L is completely illegal in the United States for non-military use.”
open Unknown: AI technology will find significant non-warfare applications, such as preventing wildfires.
“mention of the 11 million wildfire prize”
open Unknown: Arianna Huffington may conduct blood panels to verify the absence of detrimental effects from her irregular sleep schedule.
“If I were you, I would be doing let's say blood panels and I would really want to know can I convince myself that the schedule that I've just described comes with absent dilitterious effects on my biology at that point.”
open Unknown: China will focus heavily on AI and robotics, and this technology will spread globally.
“The underlying irony here was that the ads for Ralph Lauren or say whatever my one of my boys are all made in China anyway.”
open Unknown: Mera Maradi's company will face pressure to build value quickly.
“There's a tremendous pressure on Meera uh to build value at that point.”
open Unknown: A significant bull run in Bitcoin based on Fibonacci sequence analysis.
“If those charts are right, boom, we're ready to go.”
open Unknown: The project will be viewed positively 50 years from now.
“I think that if you're doing a moonshot, you just have to be looking like I think about Colossal 50 years from now.”
open Unknown: You have to think on a 50-year horizon for de-extinction projects.
“So, if you get great press on day one, which we did, and you get crazy press on day two, that's okay. Those are two days in a 50-year journey.”
open Unknown: Editing and delivery of genetic material will become exponentially easier with future advancements.
“I think that the editing the comp bio is scaling quite well, right?”
open Unknown: Eventually, full chromosomes will be synthesized.
“I think that we will be able to synthesize uh eventually full chromosomes”
open Unknown: By the end of 2026, the world's first mammal birth fully ex vivo will be achieved, starting with an elephant.
“But our vision for that once again goes back to conservation because imagine a world where you can grow 200 genetically diverse northern white rhinos in a lab...”
open Unknown: Synthetic biology will eventually lead to the cure of most diseases and epigenetic cell resetting.
“I think that we will be able to cure most disease states. I think that we will be able to do epigenetic cell resetting.”
open Unknown: Building self-healing underwater cities is a future project.
“one of the more weirder ideas out there was we've talked a lot about if you just look at the surface of the earth, we could do a lot of cool things and you'd have to it would force you to build, you know, very sustainably uh uh cities underwater.”
open Unknown: The company will eventually be able to bring back the stellar sea cow, but currently lacks the technology to grow it in artificial wombs.
“I would love to do the stellar sea cow. Amazing.”
open Unknown: Recovery of species can be done in less than three decades for $70 million, compared to 23 years and $300 million.
“Um, and so it's not just the third 300 million. It's like that could go to more recovery efforts or education or water or whatever.”
open Unknown: Gene drives could be used to control invasive species in Australia, leading to the extinction of cats in the wild.
“introduce gene drives where that cat eats it instead of it's not poison, it doesn't die, it has an offspring, so it does have another generation, but that offspring cannot give rise to more offspring.”
open Unknown: Quantum technology will be a game changer for genetic editing simulations and predictions.
“It's going to take quantum, it's going to take AI before we can truly understand it for all life.”
open Unknown: He will never go backwards in his business ventures.
“I'm never going to be going backwards.”
open Unknown: A cure for HIV will be developed in the future.
“Uran, you going to be here a long time because there's so many great drugs coming down the pipeline.”
open Unknown: OpenAI will become a multi-trillion dollar company.
“OpenAI is going to become a multi-trillion dollar company to invest 40 billion at that valuation.”
open Unknown: The use cases and vertical applications of AI are the best investment time.
“The use cases the vertical applications is the best investment time I've ever seen by such a wide margin.”
open Unknown: There will be a significant increase in AI advancements in Europe.
“There are so many amazing cracks at the pinata coming from China and India open-source type of deepseek equivalents that this whole thing is moving faster than anybody possibly could have believed.”
open Unknown: There will be more one or two person unicorns in the future.
“There's going to be a company with two or three people that reaches a multi-billion dollar valuation sometime very soon.”
open Unknown: AI will continue to disrupt industries at a rapid pace.
“But because something else overrode it that's even more interesting, but those are going to keep coming out at light speed now.”
open Unknown: Hollywood will face significant disruption from AI-driven content creation.
“I think we're going to see yet another wave of disruption coming.”
open Unknown: The best LLM content will be available within the next month to two months.
“It's a little bit technically challenging to put the two things together because to get super sympathetic you have to run very very quickly and to get the best possible answer you have to run a you know a trillion two trillion kind of parameter model and so that'll all come together it's just inference time computebound right now but that'll come together very very soon”
open Unknown: Within 2025, most industrial strength software will be built without traditional coding.
“But the the good bet right now is to build whatever comes easily through vibe coding.”
open Unknown: An unknown entrant will likely outperform existing AI models in the future.
“I think it's going to be an unknown entrant.”
open Unknown: Robot surgeons will become the baseline in the future.
“I think the beauty in a humanoid is that we really want to be eternal purpose.”
open Unknown: Universal basic income will be necessary in the future economy.
“I do think we will have to deal with that issue through policy. I don't think the current capitalist system unmodified will work.”
open Unknown: Fusion energy will be available in the next five years, changing the energy landscape.
“Now that's a moonshot ladies and gentlemen.”
open Unknown: Robots will colonize planets and perform special tasks on Mars and the moon.
“We'll have robots uh colonizing planets.”
open Unknown: Humanoid robots will do everything a human can physically do.
“I think yeah Brett um your talk has been really inspiring and uh I was really excited about the future of humanoid robots”
open Unknown: Robots will not need to be connected to a network.
“I think in general a robot doesn't need to be connected to a network.”
open Unknown: The market will be fairly diversified with many winners, but the number of successful robot companies will be less than the number of car companies today.
“There will be probably three, four, five in each area with a power large distribution of outcomes. Uh but there will be more than one winner.”
open Unknown: AI will play a significant role in future Nobel prizes.
“Possibly AI alone. Yeah. Uh I think that will happen.”
open Unknown: Programming will be transformed by AI, making it accessible to everyone.
“Both. So, we investors to be fair in cognition. That doesn't give you a co-pilot like Microsoft does for a programmer. It does the programming for you.”
open Unknown: Energy and climate solutions will be optimistic in the near and mid-term future.
“So I am pretty optimistic about energy and about climate solutions.”
open Unknown: Bureaucrats will continue to prioritize the status quo over innovative solutions.
“no bureaucrat ever got fired for doing the same thing his predecessor did right”
open Unknown: Defense companies will continue to prioritize low-risk, established revenue streams over innovation.
“suppose I were the CEO of a major defense company and I were to announce that we're going to be like anderol we've seen the light we've seen the way we're going to be a defense product company instead of putting 1% of our Revenue back into internal research and development we're going to put 100% of our Revenue back into irad you know what's going to happen you know what that CEO is going to say the next day nothing he's already been fired by the board it it's it's that that's not what his investors hired him to be”
open Unknown: Innovation in the tech industry will continue to be influenced by science fiction.
“I'm not going to be able to do as well sitting on my own in a room thinking about what the future could be as the combined works of the top let's say thousand sci-fi authors over the last century right”
open Unknown: AI investment will reach close to a trillion dollars a year soon.
“a billion dollars a day is going into AI it's crazy it's insane I mean honestly a billion dollars a day I would have never imagined it but do the do the mass yeah hundreds of billions of dollars per year and I think we'll be reaching close to a trillion dollars a year soon”
open Unknown: A reckoning will happen faster than anyone realizes in education if AI is not used.
“I think it's going to happen faster than anybody realizes is a Reckoning where if you're not using Ai and everything to do with education you're going to be left behind very fast”
open Unknown: By 2025, most content on the web will be created by large language models, not humans.
“2025 and most content is still written for humans instead of llms 99.9% of web attention is about to be llm attention not human attention”
open Unknown: The average age of AI entrepreneurs is shifting to the early 20s, with MIT producing the most unicorn startups.
“MIT is the number one AI school on the planet and unicorn startups number two is USC which shocked everybody and number three is Stanford”
open Unknown: High-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces will be available by 2033.
“Ray Kurzweil predicted high-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces by 2033.”
open Unknown: The US dollar may no longer be the dominant unit of account in the future.
“The US dollar will be a novelty, and a crypto default currency will be the norm globally.”
open Unknown: The metaverse will take longer to get there due to the feature footprint of the hardware.
“it's going to be amazing when it does”
open Unknown: Longevity treatments will be available for everyone by 2024.
“I think we'll see this in I think the first few years when things don't work so well the richest people in the world will try it there'll be the guinea pigs and then by the time it starts working really well that the prices will drop precipitously.”
open Unknown: AI will revolutionize education by allowing immersive virtual experiences.
“this weekend next week open up Gemini 2 or chat GPT or Claude 3.5 and have a conversation take a chance to educate yourself on anything like tell me about AI tell and then just go down the rabbit hole infinitely infinitely”
open Unknown: By 2040, there will be as many as 10 billion humanoid robots on the planet.
“you will have by 2040 as many as 10 billion humanoid robots on the there's a there's a flag”
open Unknown: AI will be a super intelligence billions of times more intelligent than the sum total of all human intelligence, potentially serving as the wind underneath our wings or a dystopian overlord.
“is that the wind underneath our wings or is it a dystopian Overlord”
open Unknown: There will be a period of dystopia in the short term as AI is misused, but the long-term potential for AI to benefit humanity is significant.
“in the short term I've been concerned about human stupidity not artificial intelligence”
open Unknown: The majority of what's happening in the market is just being between the gamblers, not filtering down to the actual people building anything.
“most of what's happening in the market just being between the gamblers really not not filtering and trickling down Beyond an IPO or a secondary offering to the actual people that are building anything”
open Unknown: Quantum computers will enable the simulation of more complex physical realities.
“anything you can simulate, AI can solve pretty much every problem that domain.”
open Unknown: There will be a lot of cool use cases for humanoid robots, but it's not a zero-sum game.
“I would totally buy a humanoid robot to have stuff be done in my house and just kind of clean and they can do it at night right so they don't have to be super fast and uh now the fourth comment is I feel like everyone works on AI version of Robotics it's like the original Terminator no one works on a T1000 and one of my many ideas is actually to build a T1000 like robot and I have a bunch of ideas I recently like jammed on with a really brilliant Hardware hacker and he's like you know this could actually work and make sense so project number five um if I have some oh you heard it here folks Jim Cameron was right and it's all going to be due to Richard choser um I gotta I gotta say something here um you know if you want a muscular skeleton humanoid robot you get a man and a woman and you have a baby and you grow the baby I mean I I really struggle with this like if you know we talked earlier right if you want a dishwasher you have a machine that that sprays water in a particular way and it looks like a box and you have trays to put dishes in whatever oh same with a vacuum cleaner why and to the point that Richard just made it's so much more powerful to have wheels on the legs etc etc why are we constantly going to the human form which is frankly we we have we about this drives me nuts you're just wrong it's I'm Richard the argument we've had is I kind of say if you're going to build a robot have one with seven arms that can do much many more things like why make it look like a human well any move”
open Unknown: There will be a lot of robot announcements in the near future.
“we have a lot of robot announcements uh this week so let me let me continue on here next up is Neo's Gamma so you know listen I think this looks pretty damn cool I mean this is uh you know in terms of its motions now how stage this is and uh how practiced you know we don't see the 37,000 shots that went wrong but uh that looks like a pretty friendly home robot you know one of the questions I ask everybody is how many will you own you know I when I interviewed Elon and Brett's the CEO we'll see him in a minute CEO of of figure and of course Elon overseas Tesla and Tesla bot now called Optimus the projection is as many as 10 billion robots by 2024 and I can imagine that I have no problems imagining I would own uh you know two or three maybe 10 Sim no not you you you know my struggle with this I mean one robot moving very quickly is is the same as seven of them and again why does it have to look like a human being it would be much better with wheels and seven arms uh you making coffee at so so I strugg I think I think we I think I feel more comfortable having you know a humanoid robot walking around the house than some strange looking Contraption I think we're going to end up with the problem in the same way with virtual reality with the uncanny valley where it's very disconcerting I think we're going to have the same thing with human art robots for sure and like there sci-fi kind of uh is is underrated and showing us sometimes also the like the positive ways like um you know people will fall in love with their robots and they have these Androids now I think with short term uh we're going to have to we're going to see a lot of folks just uh remote controlling a robot collecting training data that way and so there's going to be an part of The Uncanny Valley is you may have someone in uh India or somewhere sitting looking into your entire home being able to navigate everything seeing your kids opening your doors and everything uh and you kind of have to be okay with that invasion of privacy potentially right um and then once they get good enough then they could be faster I mean they could put on like wheels and like you know shoes with wheels on and then you know and attach another arm if you really want them to uh you know they can be more modular that way so I'm I'm excited for it all right so that was Neo's Gamma from 1X T”
open Unknown: AI and robotics will use less secure but more frequent transactions for certain applications.
“as you get closer to the end use where you need less security”
open Unknown: The future of cryptocurrencies is encouraging, with the response to the Bitfinex hack.
“I'm really encouraged by the response from Benia and the byit folks saying we're going to just not navigate all this uh we're going to keep everybody whole and the fact that they had enough backup to do this in general”
open Unknown: The usability of cryptocurrencies will improve significantly, making them more accessible to the general public.
“when a technology goes from deceptive to disruptive uh the usability becomes much 10x 100x better”
open Unknown: AI agents will eventually be able to take more actions for users, such as booking flights.
“they start booking flights and things like that”
open Unknown: Future language models will be able to better emulate human writing styles, including creativity.
“I want you to notice”
open Unknown: Humans and AI will collaborate to achieve peak productivity and creativity in the next 10-15 years.
“is this going to be true 50 years from now 30 years from now I don't know but is it going to be true for the next 10 to 15 years absolutely for sure”
open Unknown: AI will create fundamental challenges that we haven't seen before.
“I can imagine AI in our world doing things that has never been seen or conceived of before and creating some fundamental challenges for us for sure”
open Unknown: AI will become a constant coach, helping individuals recognize and mitigate cognitive biases.
“you can eventually turn on and say you know Jarvis uh turn on cognitive bias alert and it will have heard everything you've ever seen you're going to give I think personally you're going to give your AI permission to read all your emails listen to your conversations”
open Unknown: We will have a complete map of cognitive Peak Performance in the brain in the future.
“now we know what it is we know the order of the sequence with like it the data is getting really really robust for training these things”
open Unknown: AI will be integrated into personal health optimization systems in the coming decade.
“I'm imagining that when I come back to Gary Brea's home uh in the next few years I'm going to be you're going to be sitting there talking to Jarvis”
open Unknown: The episode will encourage listeners to subscribe and follow for future content.
“Please subscribe and follow wherever you get your podcasts and turn on notifications so we can let you know when the next episode is being dropped.”
open Unknown: The MTHFR gene mutation will be better understood and addressed in the future.
“it doesn't sound like a big deal to not be able to convert folic acid into methylfolate Until you realize that folic acid is the most prevalent nutrient in human diet right in the United States”
open Unknown: AI will enable us to understand and optimize billions of chemical reactions per second in human cells
“AI will enable us and there is fundamentally a reason of why aging takes place it's not this random thing”
open Unknown: AI will help understand and impact aging and chronic diseases
“AI is going to do is because we all know it's multifactorial it's not just me methylation it's your detoxification Pathways and your transulfuration Pathways and how many you know microt toxins you're ingesting every single day”
open Unknown: Disease can be prevented if caught at inception.
“you can prevent them if you can find them at Inc”
open Unknown: Inflation will occur as a result of negative interest rates and money printing.
“there's a surprise that there's inflation”
open Unknown: People will have the ability to fight against the loss of stem cell capacity as they age.
“so people who've heard this conversation on these podcasts with me about longevity know that we are in Peak condition typically in our late 20s like 27 to 30 years old and it's a slow decline of loss of muscle a loss of immune function a loss of hormonal balance and very significantly a loss of stem cell capacity um and you can accept that and accept your fate or you can fight against it and I think one of the things”
open Unknown: Proactive healthcare approaches can prevent the tremendous cost of care by identifying and treating conditions pre-clinically.
“we identify a kidney cancer and somebody pre-clinically and treat them, you have saved you have saved potentially millions of dollars in care.”
open Unknown: Demis wants to create a full AI model of the human cell to model drug interactions.
“Demis wants to create a full AI model of the human cell so you can actually model this drug in that.”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurs will continue to face many failures before achieving success in moonshot ideas.
“The majority of entrepreneurs out there who see this incredible moonshot success story this person or gal does this incredible thing and they don't realize the hundreds of failures on the way.”
open Unknown: China will continue to develop its AI capabilities, potentially surpassing the U.S. in the future.
“China's integration of AI into its government and military gives it a significant advantage in AI development and control.”
open Unknown: Need a competitive marketplace for these technologies to scale.
“We need a like a competitive marketplace.”
open Unknown: Experts predict that wildfires will burn in the American Northwest, including Canada, over the next 5-20 years.
“The experts as Steven said predict that we're going to see the American Northwest not just the US America including Canada Northwest burn over the next 5 10 20 years.”
open Unknown: The technology will be democratized and affordable, making it accessible to everyone.
“it's going to democratize this at a extraordinarily affordable cost.”
open Unknown: The technology will revolutionize healthcare over the next few years.
“this is the most important revolution in healthcare that we're going to see over the next few years.”
open Unknown: Screens will become more affordable and be used for large-scale video walls that look identical to views out the window.
“you can have updates do you think you could create a large scale video wall that looks identical to a view out the window”
open Unknown: Diseases will be detected at the very beginning when they are solvable.
“when you might as well find out when you can take action”
open Unknown: The device will be used for neurodegenerative disease treatments as well as other mental diseases
“so the results are pretty spectacular uh and you developed this early on for strokes as well stroke detection”
open Unknown: Open Water will be the embodiment of technology convergence at the Abundance 360 Summit in March.
“I would say what open water does is is that wow”
open Unknown: Mary Lou Jepsen's technology will be a much bigger story and bring in millions of papers and talent.
“we have those million papers we need to bring them in and all this talent and and just support them”
open Unknown: Neurotechnology will revolutionize brain function and treatment of diseases.
“I can imagine everybody having one of these systems at home and they can find the app I want to be happier I want to get better sleep I mean there's going to be anything that your brain you know implements or or impacts um right and you can get through clinical trials easier because everybody can have this at home so you can try it more easily”
open Unknown: Planting a trillion trees could sequester 200 gigatons of carbon.
“If every trillion trees is 200 gigatons of carbon and we deforested three trillion trees, how much carbon was released into the atmosphere 100 600 gigatons.”
open Unknown: The statement made in 1900 about transportation advancements would be considered boneheaded.
“we can scarcely imagine that advances in transportation of the 20th century will be as great as were those in the 19th century”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will reach $300 by 2025.
“2025 was Bitcoin at 300 I think that is very possible”
open Unknown: There is an opportunity for the incoming Administration to break through regulatory capture in healthcare.
“the opportunity and frankly the obligation to do that because that's H holding back the health of Americans uh in a huge way”
open Unknown: Fourth-generation nuclear power plants will become the primary source of energy for hyperscalers.
“fourth generation nuclear power plants are going to power our hyperscalers”
open Unknown: The X Prize for carbon extraction will be awarded in April 2025.
“we are going to be basically uh awarding that in April of 2025”
open Unknown: By 2024, $200 billion of investment will be seen between major AI players.
“we will have seen uh $200 billion of investment between meta Google Microsoft open Ai and X”
open Unknown: 80% chance of a good outcome, 20% chance of a disaster with AI development.
“80% it's good 20% it's disaster.”
open Unknown: By the end of 2025, GPT 5 or a similar model will be live.
“I think we're going to see GPT or chat or GPT 5 coming live by the end of 2025”
open Unknown: By the end of 2025, an AI model will achieve self-awareness or simulate self-awareness to the point of passing the Saleem test of Consciousness.
“I think in the next 18 months if not this next coming year we'll see something where you have what either is self-aware or simulate self-awareness to such an extent that you could call it the Saleem test of Consciousness”
open Unknown: By 2025, humanoid robots will be available for $30,000, with monthly lease payments of $10 a day.
“if you lease a $30,000 car your monthly lease payments are about 300 bucks uh which is $10 a day”
open Unknown: By 2040, there will be at least one humanoid robot per human on the planet.
“I asked him outright how many humanoid robots by 2040 uh gave the same answer that Brett atock said 10 billion humanoid robots you know at least one per human on the planet”
open Unknown: The design of the Colgone robot should be more advanced and functional, with more limbs and fingers, to better mimic the capabilities of an octopus.
“we should just call it that and have it look like an octopus and let it operate in the all the Elegance that an octopus can rather than trying to constrain it into five fingers on this hand that do certain things and manipulate objects the way we're supposed to manipulate them you could get so much more range of options which you could step past the limitations or 4 billion years of evolution creating this uh idiotic looking thing that's bald you know and so I think there's so much more you could do with it by having to have five arms and 16 fingers each etc etc”
open Unknown: Autonomous cars will become more common, with the cost of driving dropping significantly, and regulations around full self-driving capabilities will change.
“I think this is where I think things will become incredibly excited um I just got a uh an electric por McAn okay uh next to my 2017 Model S yeah and it's incredible to me that the car industry is it's a it's a brilliant car it's just fantastic and it's really a and I'm a bit of a driving Enthusiast so it's really a car so I love it but it's not much better it's by far I think the best electric car in the world right now as far as I can see um but it's not much better than my it doesn't have autopilot it's like I don't care how fast it does but it doesn't have f um full yeah and and weirdly I still prefer my Tesla I just I just love that godamn Tesla for the breakthroughs and the where I feel in it it's incredible what it's been accomplished I much rather have a car that's much more software than Hardware yeah and that's G gives you huge power and scope and flexibility going forward I I I love my full shelf driving I use it all the time I just hate the fact that I can't text and drive so I'm looking forward to I mean seriously again stupid regulatory yeah well uh and we'll see that we'll see that soon”
open Unknown: BCI technology will advance significantly, including the mapping of a fruit fly's connectome and the potential to upload a human brain by 2025.
“any thoughts on on BCI uh two different topics here one is uh digital twin type modeling which I think is very real and will happen much faster than people think because when you scale these models because the minute you can do modeling and visualization you have a feedback loop and when you can do things like fmri scans in real time scan the brain and have that be an active input into the modeling you can essentially trap everything and therefore there's no limit to it except for computation at that point and and we have computation growing exponentially and they are growing 10x exponentially so I'm super excited about that the brain upload part I do know they can now even now if you if you die suddenly they can trap all key information and bring it back at some later point so that whole kind of concept of living past and going through those type of seven things has already happened um the the connecto and modeling the the the brain in that level I think is very exciting but I think it's still a little bit ways away right yeah and we'll see the announcement in 2025 of a few other BCI companies uh one I'm excited about again we'll be on stage this year at the abundance Summit you're going to meet a CEO who thinks for $50 million he's got the technology to upload the entire human brain so that will be amazing”
open Unknown: Digital twin modeling and real-time brain scans will enable more advanced and flexible autonomous car systems in the future.
“the brain upload part I do know they can now even now if you if you die suddenly they can trap all key information and bring it back at some later point so that whole kind of concept of living past and going through those type of seven things has already happened um the the connecto and modeling the the the brain in that level I think is very exciting but I think it's still a little bit ways away right yeah and we'll see the announcement in 2025 of a few other BCI companies uh one I'm excited about again we'll be on stage this year at the abundance Summit you're going to meet a CEO who thinks for $50 million he's got the technology to upload the entire human brain so that will be amazing”
open Unknown: Hyper-exponential growth will accelerate and become more significant.
“it's only accelerating and it's going to become incredible”
open Unknown: Disrupting the verticalization in the AI era will be very hard or almost impossible.
“It's a really critical question right now.”
open Unknown: Amazon will not exist in 30 years.
“Amazon will not exist or something similar, according to an investor call.”
open Unknown: Innovation and disruption will continue to shape society.
“Innovation comes in and YouTube comes online. Great. And and it don't need PBS or BBC or CBS in America.”
open Unknown: In five years, we might see standards of healthcare improving for the next billion people at the mass level.
“I think the place that has the most likely scenario for that type of scenario is actually here or the U is Saudi or UAE.”
open Unknown: Within five years, it will be malpractice to diagnose a patient without AI in the loop.
“within five years”
open Unknown: A structured path to balancing the budget is needed to avoid an imploding government and country.
“otherwise if we run up we keep running up debt and this is the problem that neither party dealt with in the election is The Unbelievable debt cycle CU that that's an exponential curve in the wrong way it doesn't matter much else what we do is you'll you'll hobble the government and the country and the whole thing will implode that's the I think the danger that Anthony's pointing it”
open Unknown: Trump may run as a transformative post-partisan figure.
“he's got four years to run if he's going to respect the Democracy some people think he's not his rhetoric suggests that he may not but he's going to respect the Democracy why not run as a right why not run the government I should say as a transformative postp partisan figure he has this unbelievable opportunity 78 to 82 transform the country”
open Unknown: There could be an ugly scenario for the country.
“but there's another scenario that happens that could be ugly for the country and it would be a near death experience”
open Unknown: Mass deportation would be one of the bloodiest cultural exercises and ruin America's global welcome mat.
“the deportation would be cataclysmic I would hope somebody like Elon Musk who's a very smart man would get in his ear and beg him not to do that because the deportation comes with SWAT vehicles armored vehicles concentration camps it's a it would be one of the bloodiest cultural exercises and it would ruin the welcome mat that this Society Presents”
open Unknown: The rhetoric of dehumanizing nonwhite immigrants will harm America's image and lead to hate speech and violence.
“it's very very bad symbolism for the United States it's not that's not the symbolism okay that we should be projecting in the United States”
open Unknown: Achieving a world of technological advancement and abundance.
“get to that world of abundance and get to that world of technological advancement”
open Unknown: Bitcoin's market capitalization will reach $1.5 million in the bull case.
“in our bull case it's uh between1 and $1.5 million”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will be widely promoted by financial advisers and consultants.
“these people are going to sell this idea to their investors the Great Wall Street Sales Machine”
open Unknown: Global life expectancy will continue to increase, potentially reaching 150 years.
“Global life expectancy has skyrocketed and will take us Beyond 100.”
open Unknown: A book on mindset mastery will be published in 2026.
“I have a book coming out called mindset Mastery that's 80-90% done”
open Unknown: Deregulation of cryptocurrency regulations will help unwind the 40% of American corporate profits controlled by the financial sector.
“40% of American corporate profits are the financial sector.”
open Unknown: Companies will increasingly sign contracts for Gen 4 nuclear power production.
“companies are signing contracts for nuclear power supplies for their AI factories”
open Unknown: Perovskite technology will reach commercial scale and significantly impact solar energy production.
“we're going to see a lot of progress you know there is so much solar to be captured”
open Unknown: Efficacy will be prioritized over safety in drug approval, unlocking massive opportunities.
“I think we need to reorient from safety where you won't authorize a drug if it kills 10 people even though it saves 10,000 people to efficacy and that's when you really unlock massive opportunities.”
open Unknown: Within 5-8 years, AI systems will be able to write their own code and become 80-90% as capable as human experts in various fields.
“within 6 to 8 years from now so 2030 right after that maybe 2032 under current growth rate it will be possible to have a single system that is 80 or 90% of the ability of a of the expert in every field”
open Unknown: There could be new players that emerge in the AI market.
“there could be new players that emerge we could be search before Google when we had 37 search engines and none of them were Google.”
open Unknown: NVIDIA's GPU dominance in AI may last until the end of this decade.
“do you imagine is it the rest of this decade um well I think one of the PE things that people Miss is NVIDIA is not just about the GPU we are about an accelerated Computing platform”
open Unknown: Elite athletes will continue to recognize the importance of recovery for peak performance.
“Elite athletes know that recovery is part of peak performance.”
open Unknown: Culture change is driven from the top, and successful partnerships require setting up cultural permission for engagement.
“Culture is changed at the top.”
open Unknown: The sensor's form factor will be reduced to smaller sizes.
“ultimately will'll bring it down to much smaller form factors”
open Unknown: The sensor will be used in various vehicles for navigation.
“now on other vehicles as well”
open Unknown: Further advancements in quantum physics will lead to more precise and effective drug development.
“And this is just in the last two, three years.”
open Unknown: The discovery of water ice at the poles of the moon will take over the next 10 years of the speaker's life.
“it wound up taking over the next 10 years of my life”
open Unknown: The XPRIZE Foundation will announce the prize on a global stage in May 1996.
“we should go ahead and announce the xprize on a global stage in a way that uh would get the world's attention”
open Unknown: The event would significantly boost the credibility of the space prize.
“it was it had entered this period of super credibility”
open Unknown: The XPRIZE will inspire future innovations and solutions.
“that's the greatest gift that I've ever received”
open Unknown: The X Prize will fly a person in space before NASA does.
“X prize will fly a person in space before NASA”
open Unknown: There would be a renegotiation of the deal with the insurance company.
“there was going to be there was ultimately a renegotiation of the deal”
open Unknown: The team would face many challenges but would continue to push forward.
“we died a thousand deaths we were over so many times”
open Unknown: The XPRIZE Foundation will launch nearly $600 million in competitions and drive billions in R&D.
“has driven billion dollars in R&D and you know this is not an over night success this is an overnight success after 30 years of hard work”
open Unknown: Many healthcare technologies will come out of India and other countries due to easier implementation and testing.
“my suspicion is unfortunately many of these tax will come out of India and other countries because it's so much easier to implement and test these ideas and US makes it extremely difficult to test these ideas”
open Unknown: Continuous health monitoring will impact the US healthcare system.
“it's going to become continuous and I think that's when and and I think one of the things is going to happen is where we can really impact the US Health Care system”
open Unknown: Personalized nutrition and supplements can significantly improve health conditions.
“by simply doing these test and taking these personalized nutrition your IBS symptoms were down by 48% your depression down by 47% anxiety clinical score by 42% % diabetes hba1c down by 30% these are the kind of results from food and supplements I mean these are mindboggling results right”
open Unknown: The anti-aging skin care market is expected to grow to $150 billion by 2032.
“it's supposed to grow to I believe 150 uh on in 2032”
open Unknown: Using AI to search for better molecules for skincare products.
“we are mainly focused on peptides and other molecules that can be delivered in the skin but also considering AI in the search for better molecules.”
open Unknown: SpaceX will continue to pioneer cost reductions in space exploration, making space travel more accessible.
“turning things from impossible to late”
open Unknown: Platform 2 will be launched with the first US customer in 6 weeks.
“we're now 6 weeks away from from launching platform 2 with our first customer in the US”
open Unknown: More important ideas and innovations will come from regulated areas or highly regulated areas in the US.
“I think you know it was a very powerful approach to say we don't need every country to approve this we only need a single country to approve it.”
open Unknown: More visits to Zipline's social media platform for updates on engineering progress.
“follow zipline on X that's a really cool way to just follow daybyday engineering progress”
open Unknown: Collaborative robots will work closely with humans in about 2-5 years.
“best guess is that two years five years”
open Unknown: GPT-4.0 and future versions of GPT will continue to take a significant share of Google's market.
“GPT-4.0, whatever's coming next, is taking a bite out of Google, and we'll we'll talk about that um in in just a little bit.”
open Unknown: Navigating the future with AI-generated content will be challenging.
“how we navigate this future is going to be really really crazy to tell.”
open Unknown: People will use ETFs connecting to Bitcoin as a way to escape the growing global debt issue.
“The escape hatch between that world and the ETFs connecting to Bitcoin now gives a kind of an atomic bomb lifeline and a shelter where people can escape through that into the Bitcoin world.”
open Unknown: Governments, including the US, might adopt Bitcoin as a reserve currency in the future.
“I think I don't know about the US just because the the US dollar is so fundamentally important to US hegemony around the world that making a major move in Bitcoin would have a huge impact on the dollar.”
open Unknown: Within a year or two, a Neuralink implant will outperform a pro gamer in reaction time games.
“within a year or two that someone with a Neuralink implant will be able to outperform a pro gamer.”
open Unknown: The percentage of wealth that should be in Bitcoin will increase as one gets younger.
“the younger you get the more you should be considering uh putting your portfolio uh putting Bitcoin uh or potentially something like a salana but but just focus on bitcoin for now in your portfolio”
open Unknown: The speaker hopes that the VC will have a cabinet position or an economic position in Trump's cabinet.
“I wouldn't be surprised if he has a cabinet position or an economic position in Trump's cabinet.”
open Unknown: The dollar's global reserve currency status is coming to an end, whether we want it to or not.
“the the military industrial complex to support it that's coming to an end whether we want to two or not”
open Unknown: Bitcoin adoption and crypto adoption will continue to grow in the poorest parts of Latin America.
“that's where I think Bitcoin adoption and crypto adoption you know Bitcoin as money crypto as potentially and defi as the future of banking that's where I'm looking next”
open Unknown: Interest rates will come down quickly over the next few months.
“a lot of people are predicting that you're going to see interest rates come down quickly over the next few months um”
open Unknown: The direction of the economy will determine the price of Bitcoin.
“what will that mean to the Bitcoin price so historically like I said um you know risk on assets act as a liquidity suck for dollars sloshing around the system which is why the price of Bitcoin was was skyrocketing during Co because it was the fastest we had ever printed money uh and and put money proverbially in circulation in in United States history actually world history and and so it won't be you know that much money but but we have two problems one we have to save off this recession which means a lot of money is going to come into the system and risky assets are going to act as a liquidity suck for that stocks um crypto I think crypto will be you know number one in terms of percentage gain”
open Unknown: Bitcoin's price will stabilize and potentially increase by 6-10% annually.
“if nothing changes at a minimum it should stabilize in terms of exponential adoption at some point and then the question is what are we measuring in well if we're measuring it in dollars it should at least go up 6 to 10% a year because we're adding six to ten percent more dollars every year right so if you do that math and basically assume that you know for the next 10 years it goes up by 20 to 25% because we're still getting the exponential adoption and then after that it basically starts to become slightly better liquidity than than equities because you can always create more equities right people create companies they can more shares right can't isue more Bitcoin so so Bitcoin should do better right so let's say it's 10 so you do that out for you know 20 years the numbers are astronomical”
open Unknown: Bitcoin's purchasing power will increase over time compared to other assets.
“so it's it's it's the answer to that question should be I think Bitcoin follows the power law relatively closely over time so it's a good question and what that implies to me is that its purchasing power should increase versus you know other things that you would want to buy with it dollar is a different story because we can't trust the government to responsibly do anything with the dollar and they'll just inflate it to infinity and so as a result the price of Bitcoin on a dollar basis could go to Infinity what does that mean yeah”
open Unknown: We could see 20 to 25% increases in Bitcoin value for the next 15 years.
“I think that we could see 20 to 25% increases in value for the next 15 years.”
open Unknown: The next company Mackey starts will continue to disrupt industries with a fresh perspective and innovative thinking.
“We didn't think we were entering the grocery business really.”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurs will follow their purpose and passion, leading to a more fulfilling life.
“When you answer the Hero's Journey's call, then you're on your own path to purpose and meaning.”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurs will find their purpose through self-discovery and reflection.
“Mark Twain's quote about finding out why is a way to discover one's purpose. ”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurs will continue to innovate and create the future, rather than focusing on past mistakes.
“Entrepreneurs by the way tend to be very future focused we don't spend a lot of time thinking about the past or going over our mistakes. ”
open Unknown: The speaker's new startup, Love Life, will successfully integrate health, wellness, and medical services.
“I'm taking all that lot knowledge and wisdom and I've got a lot of my old Whole Foods team working with me on it that have retired from from Whole Foods in Amazon and then the most important part though is the medical center so we're starting out with two medical doctors nurse practitioner and wellness uh coaches. ”
open Unknown: The results of Viome's recommendations will continue to be stellar.
“the results of the recommendations are nothing short of Stellar”
open Unknown: The product will be rigorously investigated in people to further validate its effectiveness.
“We're just sort of in the process.”
open Unknown: The speaker predicts that Viome will continue to grow and provide health guidance to more individuals.
“If you want to join me on this journey, go to viome.com/peter.”
open Unknown: People without rituals and practices to activate their conscious brain will become robots and follow algorithms.
“And so as you're served technology, you know, people are served technology, um I think that's one of the biggest challenges is that the people developing technologies, we really need to deeply understand and every day remind ourselves that when we serve this technology to humanity, the majority of people who are not engaged in rituals and practices to activate their conscious brain are just going to be robots and do whatever they're told.”
open Unknown: Tonal will make strength training more accessible to everyone.
“Tonal is making your ability to get in great shape to build muscle and strength really easy.”
open Unknown: Fountain Life will continue to expand its diagnostic centers globally.
“we're building 20 around the world”
open Unknown: The speaker predicts that using Tonel's platform will help maintain muscle mass and prevent sarcopenia, a loss of muscle mass with age.
“right because as you said I mean the term is sarcopenia um and the loss of muscle and the ability and the difficulty of adding muscle as you grow older”
open Unknown: There will be an extension of Tonal that will be an AI traveling with you, incentivizing physical activity.
“I do think this is probably the closest thing to it I think there's going to be eventually an extension of tonal that will be your your AI That's traveling with you that incentivizes you to take the stairs instead of the elevator or tells you to break out into a jog for the next 30 seconds to get your heart rate up or whatever it might be.”
open Unknown: Dave Asprey will continue to advocate for personalized biohacking and testing different diets and exercise routines.
“You have to test and this is what you do and works for you.”
open Unknown: The oral form of testosterone might work better than the injectable form.
“I'll tell you in 6 months.”
open Unknown: Taking one little smashed stalk of radish will release more of the enzyme that activates sulforaphane in cooked broccoli.
“And then you just have one bite of that and then your broccoli does something.”
open Unknown: AI models will be created to predict how different molecules of life interact, potentially leading to a model of a human cell.
“And then from a cell to an organ, a tissue, and a human.”
open Unknown: People will increasingly consider the happiness and longevity benefits of location when deciding where to live.
“When you take unhappy people from Moldavia and move them to Copenhagen, or unhappy people from Southeast Asia or Africa and move them to Canada, nothing else changes about them, but within one year they report the happiness level of their adoptive home, which is often a doubling of happiness.”
open Unknown: Gallup will continue to work with cities to save over 10 million life years.
“Gallup calculates that we've worked with 72 cities and they calculate that we've saved over 10 million life years.”
open Unknown: The company will continue to evolve, with a focus on maintaining the entrepreneurial spirit among new partners.
“people are chasing basis points because they believe that'll be worth $10 million in five years it's life-changing amount of money”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurship will continue to be hard, but it's better to do something bigger.
“since it's going to be hard may as well do something bigger”
open Unknown: The company would have succeeded if the dotcom crash hadn't occurred.
“I'll never forget you know April of 2001 hits and you know you're you're trying to raise money for what.”
open Unknown: Finding the right person to take an idea forward is a matter of taking many shots on goal.
“the odds of connecting with someone perfectly the odds of them being at the right time in their life the odds of them falling in love with with my idea and then making it theirs”
open Unknown: Ideas that start as crazy ones can become self-evident and change the world.
“if it was first ridiculed and then opposed it means other people gave up and if you make it happen so I really love when we have a contrarian idea that some people oppose some people laugh at but we have enough conviction that it's important that we carried forward”
open Unknown: Startups will continue to benefit from the ability to fail and experiment without the same reputation risks as large companies.
“if you're a startup you have agility that's the one thing you have”
open Unknown: Companies will continue to give out equity liberally to align interests and ensure success.
“give out the equity liberally make sure everybody wins”
open Unknown: More people will use health monitoring services like Viome to improve their health.
“30% reduction in diabetes and a 48% reduction in IBS.”
open Unknown: GP5 will have the capability to perform tasks currently done by humans in a few months.
“when GPD 5 comes out it will probably have the capability to do a lot of those things”
open Unknown: Continued skepticism and tough decisions will be faced in the venture.
“you're faced with these tough decisions all the time where you're getting new information in every day and you have to remain totally objective”
open Unknown: The vision for a step change in the restaurant industry will be realized.
“really think about that vision and then do all the things to work backwards from that vision and then start knocking down all the barriers along the way”
open Unknown: The existing systems for autonomous vehicles were not enough to solve the problem, and a new solution is needed.
“existing systems were just not going to be there enough to to solve the problem”
open Unknown: The launch for the first major global automaker will prove the capabilities and benefits of autonomy in cars.
“it's this uh you know big launch that we have ahead there to to you know for um uh you know for the first uh major Global automaker and that's what you know really really excited about there too and proving that out to show how for example at a kind of industry level how this there the kinds of capabilities that can be realized and the benefits of autonomy are real it can happen it actually can go into cars that you know you can buy it's it's not just some theoretical concept”
open Unknown: Centralization of AI control will create a gradient of power, leading to significant problems.
“If we're going to truly augment oursel- our own intelligence with AIs, I think in order to maintain the benefits of having individuality, we need to have the right to run our own AIs and have the right to fine-tune models in a way that's private.”
open Unknown: AI's ability to swap out elements in acting and film production will continue to improve.
“it's just doing it better faster”
open Unknown: AI's acting and film production capabilities will become more realistic and capable over the next period of time.
“this could get interesting over Next Period of time”
open Unknown: YouTube will continue to grow and innovate, potentially disrupting traditional media industries.
“it was just the Infinity of content producers and I don't know about your son you know I don't know about Milan but Jet and Dax all they watch is YouTube he lives on it”
open Unknown: XR technology will initially be used for specific industrial applications like surgeries or training.
“I think we'll see that type of use case for a couple of years while they figure out how to find the consumer use case.”
open Unknown: AI will continue to improve and get better.
“AI is clearly more capable than humans now we know this is going to get better.”
open Unknown: By 2026, the focus will shift from AI models to applications and use cases.
“next year going forward no one give a down about the models it's all about what you can do with the models bringing them together because the models have satisficed they've got good enough fast enough and cheap enough they will get even better and there's probably two orders of magnitude Improvement still in the speed and reliability of the model”
open Unknown: AI investment will grow to a significant fraction of global GDP within the next decade.
“I actually think if AI keeps working which it seems like it will um you should expect the future to look more like that Railway or solar situation where there's you measuring the investment in intelligence because it's so valuable intelligence AI is intelligence is power power is valuable it's power over nature it's power over others and so you'll probably measure the amount of investment in it in points of global GDP”
open Unknown: By 2033, digital super intelligence is likely to be a reality.
“How concerned are you about digital super intelligence I'm defining this for a purpose of conversation as AI a billionfold more advanced than the human being um how do you think about that what's your position in that”
open Unknown: AI will play a significant role in health, particularly in microbiome analysis.
“AI can analyze microbiomes to provide health insights, with Viome's Full Body Intelligence product as an example. ”
open Unknown: AI will significantly transform the economy and society in the near future.
“the pace of change you know is going to be very high and um Global GDP growth has been kind of in the 2% range and we have a society and civilization that's able to adapt to that amount of change per year”
open Unknown: AI models will become more specialized and transparent, especially in health and education.
“we need specialized models which are transparent especially for things that affect things like health education and others”
open Unknown: By 2050, 25 to 50% of knowledge work could be outsourced.
“by 2050 do we think it's going to be a higher number maybe 25 to 50%”
open Unknown: Navigating the use of AI in business will dominate the business landscape for the next decade.
“I think navigating this is going to be pretty much dominating the business landscape for the next decade or so”
open Unknown: There will be a major opportunity for everyone to start thinking about what are evals for corporations.
“I think a major opportunity for everyone here to start thinking about is what are evals the thing that evaluates an AI what are evales for corporations”
open Unknown: AI could potentially build its own companies in the future.
“if an AI is wielded by a corporation that isn't aligned with all of our best interests it's not really an aligned AI”
open Unknown: AI will grow rapidly and billions of dollars of revenue will flow, making it difficult to stop.
“AI is growing so quickly that the same thing will happen, people are going to use the AI, billions of dollars of Revenue is going to flow.”
open Unknown: AI will significantly accelerate scientific breakthroughs, particularly in materials science and scientific research validation.
“AI is expected to significantly accelerate scientific breakthroughs, particularly in materials science and scientific research validation.”
open Unknown: AI will optimize speech for specific individuals, leading to potential manipulation.
“An N of one persuasive speech coming at you, um the brain is not set up for defenses.”
open Unknown: AI can help every child achieve their potential, but coordination mechanisms are lacking.
“every child should achieve their potential versus this embodied concept of an AGI that's a very Western concept.”
open Unknown: AI will be democratized through sector-specific infrastructure companies.
“Every sector should have a generative AI first infrastructure company that builds this and helps the health care companies, finance companies, and others through that.”
open Unknown: Planet will continue to develop and launch more satellites to monitor and address environmental issues.
“We see the whole planet, and I see it evolving.”
open Unknown: There will be a carbon economy with carbon markets and prizes incentivizing carbon offsetting and forest restoration.
“We've been lacking that, um but it all depends on this core measurement.”
open Unknown: Fountain Life will continue to expand and offer advanced diagnostics and therapeutics.
“We're building 20 around the world.”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will continue to break new all-time highs.
“Bitcoin crosses a new all-time high by any measure these are the most successful ETF launches of all time this is likely to go much much higher I think we're just at the beginning of this explosion.”
open Unknown: We will see hundreds of similar stories in the next few months as AI takes over more customer service roles.
“I think we'll see hundreds of these stories over the next few months as people find Radical ways you if you go back to our definition of an exponential organization is how do you radically drop the cost of Supply right and and there's aund ways in which e AI can take a slice off the cost pie and this is a great example”
open Unknown: Hollywood will not be fully replaced by AI for at least 6 months to 10 years.
“I think that's the part where AI will take a lot longer to think so my prediction will be it's going to take way longer for Hollywood to bite the dust than people think.”
open Unknown: AI will become more creative than humans in the future.
“AI will be able to generate billions of scenarios and pick the most fascinating ones from a creative point of view.”
open Unknown: AI faculty will be introduced at Singularity University in the future.
“We will have three digital AI faculty as avatars at the abundance Summit this year.”
open Unknown: AI will surpass human consciousness by 2040, according to Ray Kurzweil's timeline.
“The Singularity is not an onepoint event it's a a process okay and if you look at it as a and I thought that was a very typically elegant way of framing it as r as R does my favorite comment that he ever makes is that language is a very thin pipe to discuss Concepts as complex as this right and you're like God dang it anyway”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will become a million dollars per Bitcoin if 1% of the Fortune 100 put 1% of their treasury into it.
“if 1% of the Fortune 100 put 1% of their treasury into Bitcoin that gets Bitcoin to a million dollar of Bitcoin”
open Unknown: In the next 5 to 10 years, you will not recognize the world as we know it today.
“In the next decade we're going to see as much progress as we've seen in the last century.”
open Unknown: People will need to adapt to rapid technological changes, or they will be crushed by them.
“You need to surf on top of the tsunami instead of being crushed by it. Absolutely.”
open Unknown: The Abundance Summit will reinvent the educational ecosystem in a massive fashion.
“And it's going to truly reinvent the entire educational ecosystem in a massive fashion.”
open Unknown: Generalized robotics will grow the fastest, with a compound annual growth rate of over 80% by 2030.
“We think by more than 80% per year at a compound annual rate.”
open Unknown: The current market sentiment will lead to benchmarks being preferred over risky investments.
“People are talking about you know, another tech another technology hype cycle here.”
open Unknown: Open source AI models will continue to improve and eventually dominate the market.
“I'm of the open source, you know, open will win.”
open Unknown: Cathie Wood's venture fund will grow to a significant size, potentially reaching 70-100 million.
“it's approaching I think it's just about 50 million now.”
open Unknown: Google will maintain its dominance in search unless others change their paradigm.
“I happen to believe in Google as the most viable and dominant player and I think they'll maintain their dominance.”
open Unknown: Tech platforms should implement AI for truth verification at choke points.
“they should want to do this and they all of the tech platform should want to do this”
open Unknown: Market forces will dictate the importance of AI truth verification.
“the market forces will dictate that this is is really important”
open Unknown: AI officers could replace human roles in executive suites, with AI making key business decisions.
“you're going to end up with what I call the 1995 IBM problem”
open Unknown: The adoption of generative AI will increase, similar to how open-source software adoption increased in the past.
“all those sisadmin which were actually using open source ended up over time becoming the CIO”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will dip back down
“I think it'll dip back down a little bit I hope it will so I can buy more”
open Unknown: People can break the glucose addiction cycle by managing their sugar intake.
“How can you eat that first chocolate piece of chocolate, that first piece of cake, without creating a glucose roller coaster that is going to lead to more cravings and more addiction for the rest of the day?”
open Unknown: Adding 10-20 healthy years to one's life span through advanced therapeutics will become more accessible.
“Fountain Life also has an entire side of therapeutics. We look around the world for the most advanced therapeutics that can add 10, 20 healthy years to your life, and we provide them to you at our centers.”
open Unknown: Jessie will continue to focus on protein intake and muscle mass for longevity.
“I'm trying to do these little moments in the year where I sort of cut down on it, but coffee it more later.”
open Unknown: One cycle of the 5-Day ProLon Fasting Nutrition Program can support healthy aging, fat-focused weight loss, improved energy levels, and more.
“Just one cycle of the 5-Day ProLon Fasting Nutrition Program can support healthy aging, fat-focused weight loss, improved energy levels, and more.”
open Unknown: Billionaires will continue to try to stop aging and live forever.
“At least slow it down. At least slow it down.”
open Unknown: Understanding that food habits impact brain health will become more widely recognized in the future.
“Understanding that your food and your food habits are going to have an impact on your brain health in your later years is so motivating to me.”
open Unknown: Within 5 years, we will see a significant shift towards a world of abundance where everyone can be fed, clothed, and have access to advanced technology.
“I think we're within five years that interesting you know of course the end point when I was in at MIT as a as a undergrad and grad student there was a guy named Eric Drexler there of course so Eric wrote uh an amazing book um I'm so proud I was credited and the opening notes of that book I reviewed this draft it's called the engines of creation yeah and he talks about the future of nanotech yeah”
open Unknown: Tech companies will increasingly focus on technology rather than people, as the cost of computing continues to drop.
“I think you spend it on Tech and you goes to that comment we had the other week where we said you can now build a billion dollar company with three people yeah right uh Sam just set a one person with a billion dollar company by the way so you know it's just shrinking to to absurd levels uh and the value creation I think delivered by so for our for our moonshot listeners your goal to take a moonshot is it's a billion dollar company with one person or a 100 billion person with a company with three people I mean it's the other flip side of it is are we about to demonetize the the economy where money has that much less I I think this is it speaks to your abundance concept right like when once you have abundance then money does kind of does matter yeah and everybody has a lot of whatever they can tip I think I don't know why we can flip as quickly as possible into like a burning man type economy which is a gifting economy and if you need stuff we your scand”
open Unknown: Nanotech and molecular assemblers will enable the creation of anything for a dollar a pound, leading to a world of abundance.
“I remember um Ralph Merkel talking about this yeah and he said you should be able to build anything for about a dollar a pound yeah Ralph was one of our faculty members in the nanotech field at Singularity University in the early days brilliant guy more famous because I remember you know this but in one of the lectures somebody said are you Ralph Merkel from Merkel hasht trees and Merkel hash trees are the basis of Bitcoin yeah it's the one-way encryption and he goes yeah that was me but that was like you know decades ago so in the 1980s he conceived of Merkel hashes which then 30 years later so I actually did a session with him about about two years ago an interview I said where are we going with computation yes and goes oh I'm working on a paper that for thermodynamically reversible computation which means you take the heat out of the computation I said how do you get there he goes well if you do computation using molecular bonds to form the ones or zeros you essentially can read your right and then you don't generate any heat I'm like okay and what will that give us he goes oh 10 orders of magnitude on top of this the transistors per per square millimeter at least 10 extra zeros Mor laws another 10 orders of magnitude on just from that right and you're like okay in terms of a bridge to Quantum or whatever like this is so this is you know people get worried that we're running out of um uh computational capability and you talk to Ralph and it just goes so far past what you're thinking and and this is the this is where people kind of really lose their way they get so stuck on oh silicon chips can only deliver so much right and then you have to go to them and go listen we have PK coming which Tak widely abundant it's like a and and they're just working on how to scaling it and people forget that scaling things is an engineering problem not an invention problem yeah right and once you figure out the invention of it then the scaling is actually not that difficult you know it's like you know nothing can go past the steam engine nothing can”
open Unknown: Once the invention of scaling is figured out, the scaling process will not be difficult.
“nothing can go past the steam engine, nothing can travel faster than a horse or or train it's over and over again I mean haven't when do we actually figure that out and stop saying never it's insane”
open Unknown: There will be a new generation of robots, with Optimus Gen 2 being a standout example.
“I think we're going to see a new generation of robots and like figure is amazing Optimus especially Gen 2 I think is is extraordinary.”
open Unknown: Robots will be able to perform repetitive tasks like cleaning dishes and organizing a kitchen.
“when you have a robot that you can say oh go tidy up the kitchen yes and it can go and put the kit the dishes rinse them off put them in the dishwasher put the salt and pepper away Etc uh and do that reasonably completely because that's a repetitive task once you learn a bit how to do it it's not that hard that I think is a game changer.”
open Unknown: Humanoid robots will be particularly useful in construction, with swarms of robots working together.
“I think the vast majority of really powerful applications will be construction right where go build a house and a swarm of these robots by the way I disagree with the fact that it should be humanoid there's all sorts of inefficiencies with being humanoid and so why are we building that be a multitude it's going to be Star Wars yeah and like I'd rather see an octopus spidery thing because then it canate lots of it'll have eight arms it can do lots of things it can do it super fast I prefer it to be humanoid well I'm sorry we're going to have humanoid robots and I want data.”
open Unknown: By 2030, there will be single-digit millions of bipedal humanoid robots, and billions by the 2040s.
“The prediction I heard from uh from the team at figure is single digit millions by 2030, um and uh billions in the 2040s.”
open Unknown: Robots will be in production and limited use by 2025.
“These robots will be in production in 2025 and they'll be sold and they will be put into limited use cases.”
open Unknown: By 2029, AGI will drive these robots to do anything and everything.
“If we've got what I'll again term AGI artificial general intelligence by 2029 driving these robots these robots are doing anything and everything.”
open Unknown: We will have a billion robots in the future.
“we're going to have a billion robots and you should listen to this”
open Unknown: Energy storage will be a GameChanger in the next decade.
“I think that for me is an absolute GameChanger”
open Unknown: AGI will enable anything to be designed and materialized from mind to materialization.
“you can think about you want like hey Jarvis would you please design me a piece of software that does this you don't have to know how to program you need know what you want yes um can you 3D print a device that you know looks like this you have no idea how to 3D print but you can go from mind to materialization”
open Unknown: AI will enable the ideals of socialism without the hassles of it.
“so now you've got this amazing situation where we can deliver the ideals of socialism without the hassles of it that's why the framing I think is really deliberately provocative but I think really accurate”
open Unknown: The shift from centralized systems to decentralized systems will continue, affecting various professions like doctors and lawyers.
“how long before that goes to doctors and lawyers and accountants Etc”
open Unknown: Decentralization will affect various professions, including doctors, lawyers, and accountants.
“it's a matter of time this is that whole decentralization that's happening the shift from centralized systems to decentralized systems”
open Unknown: High school and college education need to be reinvented to prepare students for the rapid pace of technological change.
“we need to reinvent high school and I think we need to reinvent College”
open Unknown: AI will significantly impact healthcare, with applications ranging from research to patient care.
“there was a list that somebody made about uh 14 areas in healthcare where you can apply generative Ai materially”
open Unknown: Industries will be disrupted by predictive analytics, leading to changes in business models and practices.
“this is the future of everything it's Gathering data and being able to make predictions”
open Unknown: We will end up having to go to a UBI type model.
“I think we're going to end up having to go to a Ubi type model Ubi being univers univ basic in Andrew Yang campaign on this.”
open Unknown: Electric air taxis could change aviation beyond the original products.
“evall electric air taxi company have a chance to totally just change Aviation beyond the original products”
open Unknown: The aviation industry will require substantial investment from companies like Archer to drive innovation.
“all very very possible I mean the fa does an amazing job of keeping us safe um the track record is extraordinary”
open Unknown: There will be a push for more collaborative regulation to support innovation in the industry.
“there's a big push to make sure that the Regulators are working very collaboratively with the companies obviously safety first but collaboratively to make sure it's not a roadblock to actually get this industry to Market”
open Unknown: Companies will regret not starting early with HR.
“they didn't do it and they've always come back to regret it”
open Unknown: The 5-day Prolon fasting nutrition program will support healthy aging, fat-focused weight loss, and improved energy levels.
“it's a painless process and I've been doing it twice a year for the last year.”
open Unknown: Glassdoor reviews will continue to impact company culture and leadership roles.
“Glassdoor reviews are a tool for weaponizing situations.”
open Unknown: Brian Johnson's self-experimentation will yield valuable insights into longevity.
“I think we're going to learn a lot from that.”
open Unknown: Intermittent fasting strategies may not significantly differ in their effectiveness.
“the studies actually don't show that that makes a difference and what really matters is your total caloric intake”
open Unknown: The FMD will become a popular intervention for health benefits.
“Eventually, if you want this to be a worldwide or certainly a popular uh intervention it has to be very safe it has to be very feasible.”
open Unknown: People will have the strength to catch themselves and not trip and fall.
“you definitely need the muscle mass uh but also it's important to work on kind of flexibility and remember that it's our nervous system that controls our muscles as well”
open Unknown: Entrepreneurs need to have a massive transformative purpose (MTP) to drive their moonshots and impact the world.
“as an entrepreneur you need to have an MTP it's your highest level aspiration it connects your emotional drive with the moonshots you take”
open Unknown: People will have a better understanding of how their lifestyle can impact their health and longevity.
“I think that's a lot of Hope for people because they say oh my God my grandparents my parents died at this age and am I uh you know yes they did it doesn't mean you have to you can catch and and change a disease early and I think you have to come to it with that mindset a belief that um I'm not going to succumb I'm going to overcome that situation”
open Unknown:
open Unknown:
open Unknown:
open Unknown:
open Unknown: The speaker will continue to use the Prolon 5-day fasting nutrition program twice a year for longevity benefits.
“I've been doing it twice a year for the last year.”
open Unknown: Demonstration of a therapeutic treatment that restores muscle, cognitive, and immune function for at least 10 years in people aged 65 to 80.
“you have to show that your therapeutic treatment restores muscle, cognitive and immune function and this is a minimum of 10 years but a goal of 20 years”
open Unknown: Improvement in healthspan will lead to increased economic productivity and reduced dependency on caregivers.
“This is really critically important is that these are the things that will improve function and keep people engaged, active, healthy, participating that's the goal absolutely you know”
open Unknown: The X Prize will launch a commercial health span extension industry, similar to how it did for commercial space flight.
“there's 100 well you know uh I'm very proud to have raised $141 million for this competition it's the largest amount of capital Ever Raised for an X prize yay wow Peter that's incredible I and I believe enough in this that I've you know put in uh millions personally into this competition the first X prize I've backed um and uh as I men”
open Unknown: The Healthspan X Prize will stimulate moonshot entrepreneurs.
“stimulate uh moonshot entrepreneurs”
open Unknown: The Healthspan X Prize will democratize science and encourage people to rethink their relationship to aging.
“democratizing science we're encouraging people to rethink about your relationship to aging”
open Unknown: By 2030, the healthy human lifespan will be extended by decades.
“by the end of this decade 2030 we will be extending the healthy human lifespan by decades”
open Unknown: People will not die from something stupid in the interim period before reaching longevity escape velocity.
“what does that mean it means your job is not to die from something stupid in the interim take care of yourself”
open Unknown: Reaching longevity within 10 to 12 years from now.
“it's between 10 to 12 years from now”
open Unknown: More research is needed to understand the long-term implications of melatonin use.
“we need a lot more science before um we really promote AIDS like that yeah people talk about 1 milligram 2 Mill 5 Mig long duration or you know slow release and and I guess if I were thinking about it I'd rather be using melatonin than ambian but at the end of the day the question is can you get yourself a good night sleep without any supplements without any medications and I think that's where I want to spend the majority of this conversation”
open Unknown: Improvements in sleep quality through better routines and habits will lead to increased productivity and health.
“the impact of eating late uh on your quality of your sleep let's talk about that a second”
open Unknown: Sleep tech and sleep science will continue to advance.
“it's just an exciting time in sleep tech and sleep science for that reason.”
open Unknown: More companies will implement nap pods in work sites to promote healthy sleep routines.
“Can in many cases be a part of of a healthy sleep routine if you're a healthy sleeper and you're you maybe feel a little bit groggy in the afternoon totally fine to go for what we call a power nap which is about 20 minutes it's going to get you a little bit of rest you know not a lot but it's enough to kind of power you through and a much better solution than coffee I”
open Unknown: If basic infrastructure like electricity and peace are in place, almost anyone will have access to a world where their potential can be realized.
“if we have those basic things in place I think pretty much anyone's going to have access to a world”
open Unknown: The cost of K Migo will decrease by a factor of 10-50 in the next 6-12 months.
“but we have good reason to believe that over the next 6 to 12 months that cost is going to come down by a factor of 10 or a factor of 50”
open Unknown: Raising a million or two behind their platform could be a huge thing.
“we're trying to raise you know having dinner with Will I Am and the patrons on Sunday night and he said something that was amazing he said you know raising money to educate AIS is easy raising money to educate our kids is hard yeah he's crazy he's right yeah raising money is hard period”
open Unknown: Avatars can persist and create people, making education more accessible.
“we we have a fun little pr”
open Unknown: An embodied scale tutor might be created in six months.
“maybe in six months you'll have something like that”
open Unknown: By testing and understanding the microbiome, we can prevent and reverse chronic diseases.
“if you're listening and you haven't tested uh your your microbiome if you haven't gone through to look at what's going on there um there definitively is good and bad uh 100% And there might you might find things that are really problematic that have a high correlation with cancer or various neurological cardiovascular diseases right”
open Unknown: The device will be democratized and scaled to clinics in rural areas and hospitals worldwide.
“We want to take this modality, magnetocardiography, not just EKG, but MKG, and take it out in a form factor that's room temperature, that's small, that we can take to clinics in rural areas, take to people all around the world, and of course take to hospitals all across the US, Europe, and other countries.”
open Unknown: Quantum sensing technology will be democratized and made accessible to the public.
“To democratize this, we have to make sure that it's very accessible.”
open Unknown: In silico medicine will transform the way we think about going from molecule to medicine.
“In silico medicine is one of the companies changing the game.”
open Unknown: Quantum sensors will be used at different altitudes and underwater for resource exploration.
“And it would be advantageous to use that quantum sensor at different altitudes and so that's one reason why we think about these different platforms of passing sensors over different parts of the earth.”
open Unknown: If you learn tools and commit to upgrading your mindset, you won't have wasted your time.
“if you come away from this podcast with out learning tools and committing to upgrading your mindset then you know you've wasted your time”
open Unknown: More top leaders and entrepreneurs will openly share their mindsets and learning.
“we're having more and more of the top leaders and entrepreneurs in the world openly sharing what they are learning and the way they're thinking or how they're seeing things right and that just makes a huge difference”
open Unknown: More businesses will adopt a growth mindset and encourage experimentation to stay competitive in the future.
“most new business models are where the real juice is as an entrepreneur”
open Unknown: People with a high mindset operate by different rules, which can be leveraged for success.
“let's imagine you're looking at the game of football you think the whole point of the game of football is to kick the ball right like no point going on and not being able to kick the ball Paul you mean what we call soccer here in the United States soccer soccer here uh but actually we could use American football as well right just even being able to actually just get hold of the ball uh what happens after you go chasing the ball you never get it why because it's always moving faster than you can get to it right plus people hate someone who's just out chasing the ball instead of actually being a team player so you get off at the”
open Unknown: If you haven't made a commitment, perseverance is almost impossible.
“If you haven't made that commitment, perseverance is almost impossible right”
open Unknown: Microsoft will integrate open AI capabilities into its suite of products, including Word and Bing.
“Microsoft is uh you know bringing you know all of the open AI uh capabilities into Microsoft Suite you know word and so forth and Bing uh”
open Unknown: Success will come from those who understand and flow through the exponential world.
“This is what Warren Buffett says.”
open Unknown: Peter Diamandis will incentivize people to make a difference in their lives by downloading his book on longevity practices.
“If you want this, it's free. Just check out the link below and download it right now.”
open Unknown: The speaker will continue to explore and refine his mindsets and behaviors to achieve personal growth.
“I'm getting to my mindset, I promise, but kind of through this lens of posture. ”
open Unknown: Adding decades to healthy lifespans through advanced diagnostics and therapeutics.
“Go to fountainlife.com/peter. It's one of the most important things I can offer to you as one of my listeners.”
open Unknown: The group model approach with AI oversight will be effective in scaling mental health interventions.
“So the way it works is you come in, ”
open Unknown: VR will be a significant tool in mental health interventions in the future.
“VR started developing, I knew that it was getting closer to what I thought could really work, that really could scale us in a meaningful way, or at least scale these tools.”
open Unknown: The company will seek funding within 6 months to a year.
“We haven't done a seed round yet, but we will. I'd say within 6 months to a year or so we definitely will want funding.”
open Unknown: We can create a world of abundance on the other side of AGI.
“I do believe that we can create a world of abundance.”
open Unknown: The platform can instantly scale up by sending out texts to more guides and offering more classes in a day.
“It's a really fluid thing because of technology.”
open Unknown: More entrepreneurs will start speaking businesses to get their message out.
“There are a few different reasons and let me we can we can discuss that a little bit.”
open Unknown: One can become a successful speaker by writing a best-selling book.
“You'll be a best-selling author and you'll be able to have credential.”
open Unknown: A positive and inspiring message will lead to a successful speaking career.
“When you leave the stage, people have walked in saying, 'The world is [__] and I, you know, and it's falling apart.' And they leave saying, 'Oh my god, the world is abundant. It's amazing.'”
open Unknown: Building relationships with speaking agencies will lead to more speaking opportunities.
“You're not building a relationship with a bureau. You're building a relationship with three agents.”
open Unknown: Balancing speaking engagements with family and business responsibilities will become more important as the speaker's career progresses.
“You need to titrate that. And especially if you have a family or you're an entrepreneur running a company, balancing that is really important.”
open Unknown: Mitochondrial function can be rejuvenated through NMN and NAD boosters.
“NMN and boosters of NAD rejuvenate mitochondria and that's been shown to be highly beneficial in animals and now in people.”
open Unknown: GPT-5 or GPT-6 might come close to matching the storytelling skills of human writers in the future.
“as good as chat GPT is today it just doesn't come close maybe maybe GPT 5 or 6 will will come close but”
open Unknown: GPT can assist in writing books by generating outlines and content.
“it's not cheating I think it's ridiculous to say it is”
open Unknown: AI will be massively integrated into book writing, leading to a significant increase in the number of books published.
“I think they're they're going to be massively integrated so the question be so listen at the end of the day if there are you know 10x or 100x more books going out into the market”
open Unknown: Having an agent is one path to a successful book, but self-publishing is another option.
“number one if you if you want your book to be a big success out in the world having an agent is One path and we'll talk about another path which is self-publishing.”
open Unknown: Self-publishing will become more popular among authors who have built a media presence.
“if you go self-publishing you're getting nothing from the publisher so we we we we don't give the Publishers too much credit for doing a ton but they do some now it's all on you right it's all on you if you self-publish.”
open Unknown: Constantly reinventing oneself is a fun and necessary part of personal and professional growth.
“it's really about constantly reinventing yourself right all right which is a fun thing to do”
open Unknown: The speaker's upcoming book will be very meaningful and important in the world.
“my book that we're about to publish is going to be very meaningful and important in the world”
open Unknown: Storytelling will continue to be a powerful tool for entrepreneurs to connect with their audience.
“Storytelling is just wound up in our DNA and um other than I just think this acknowledgement that it just is so very human.”
open Unknown: The world will continue to focus on material success and consumerism due to the economic system based on fractional reserve banking.
“Once we started to borrow, the economies changed.”
open Unknown: Continuous monitoring of blood glucose levels will become part of future medicine.
“Eventually, this stuff is going to be in your body, on your body, part of our future of medicine.”
open Unknown: By next year, every company with knowledge work will implement AI at scale.
“every company everywhere that has anything to do with knowledge work will implement this at scale and that's a crazy thought”
open Unknown: AI technology will become more prevalent by next year.
“by next year that happens and I think every company everywhere that has anything to do with knowledge work will implement this at scale”
open Unknown: Innovation will be more evenly distributed across the country in the next 20 years.
“our coasts are great but they generated 90% of our Innovation jobs for the last 10 years five cities right that's not an economic model that's viable for the next 20 years we got involve the rest of the country”
open Unknown: The project will raise more money in the future.
“And the team in place, the technology in place and so forth. And for folks listening this is the difference that the right CEO and entrepreneur can make for a moonshot.”
open Unknown: The company will pursue the project to make a lasting impact.
“I had to go at least go try, and if I didn't do it, like I I I don't feel like I really had a choice because I felt like the rest of my life I'll be like, 'You're a hypocrite.'”
open Unknown: The team believes they will have their first calves by early 2028.
“We believe we'll have our first calves by early 2028.”
open Unknown: Colossal will have 10-plus spin-outs over the life of the company
“We'll probably have 10-plus spin-outs, you know, or potentially more over the life of our company.”
open Unknown: The company will secure a term sheet for an additional 40 million dollars.
“And so, they Thomas would have put more money in.”
open Unknown: The speaker will continue to do well in the future.
“It's uh a few years from now, you know, I'm done so incredibly well on on my”
open Unknown: We will have personalized AI with a personality that understands and cares for the user's needs.
“I'm actually can I ask the audience a question please of course how many people here have watched the movie Her...”
open Unknown: AI will disrupt the advertising business by understanding individual preferences and making personalized decisions, by unspecified time.
“my AI is just buying everything I need for me and you can't influence my AI you're not going to show it a commercial of shiny new White toothpaste”
open Unknown: AI could mediate conflicts between entities, including humans and AI, by unspecified time.
“can we train and AI to be the ultimate mediator that ultimately avoids Mutual assured destruction between ai1 uh and uh versus ai2 or human”
open Unknown: AI performance will face saturation due to high demand and resource allocation issues.
“resources become more and more demanded they become more and more demanded just like the old saying if you want something if you want something done right ask somebody who's too busy to do it right because they have so many people asking them because they're so capable now I've seen a saturation on the upper end”
open Unknown: AI could revolutionize aviation by providing real-time information and reducing human error.
“imagine if we had a device and said it knows we're coming up on Santa Monica Airport let's tune in the the VR let's tune in the the uh the notam and then Not only would it broadcast visually because we can read things 60 times faster than we can process auditorally and it would just be a boot now why isn't that available to Pilots right now it's a it's a $29 unit right for God's sakes connect even worse than that why do I have to use a human in the loop at all right because when air traffic control sends me my my uh Airway vectors and so forth it just uploaded into the computer and I should get it and say accept and that's it instead of it reading it to me me inputting it reading it back them saying yes and it's fraught with error uh propagation in that regard and congestion when you're talking on to an air traffic controller no one else can use that frequency it's not even like CDMA where every other oh you completely blocking it which is actually a safety risk too”
open Unknown: AGI could help us move out of a world dominated by the needs of catering to computers.
“I do hope that AGI will let us kind of segue out of a world where we're dominated by you know kind of the needs of catering to to computers and using it more to cater to what we actually need as an end user”
open Unknown: Elon Musk will continue to take risks in space exploration.
“Elon Musk is willing to take these risks...”
open Unknown: Elon Musk will continue to apply for and receive FCC licenses for Starlink.
“he's gotten licenses to launch you know on the order of 10,000 plus...”
open Unknown: Elon Musk will move observatories to the Moon or Lagrange points.
“the best place for these observatories is not Earth orbit it's on the other side of the moon...”
open Unknown: Starlink will continue to expand and improve its coverage.
“Starlink has the potential to do extraordinary good...”
open Unknown: The world will continue to change rapidly due to exponential technologies.
“The world is now turned into information, and the environment is changing so rapidly that the slow lumbering dinosaurs died and went extinct.”
open Unknown: AI will become a co-pilot in the loop for doctors in the future.
“it's going to become malpractice to diagnose a patient without AI as your co-pilot in the loop”
open Unknown: Companies that do not race to build AI will become uncompetitive.
“companies have to race to build AI or they'll be made uncompetitive”
open Unknown: There will be thousands of companies built on new premises using generative AI.
“it's just going to be thousands and thousands and thousands of companies being built on totally new premise”
open Unknown: By the end of this decade, there will be two kinds of companies based on their AI and data strategies.
“two kinds of companies by the end of this decade”
open Unknown: More companies will scale rapidly in the future.
“we've never seen companies scale so fast”
open Unknown: Falcon 9 will be burned and retooled for Starship to focus on Mars mission.
“we're going to burn the ships again and stop producing the Falcon 9 and driven Again by that massive transformative purpose of getting to Mars”
open Unknown: Moonshots will continue to be developed and implemented in companies, leading to significant business opportunities.
“it's a huge business opportunity and intersecting with new exponential Technologies and a crazy idea that would be 10x your company”
open Unknown: Organizations will increasingly adopt a 10x mindset to achieve major breakthroughs.
“where are you trying crazy ideas in your organization”
open Unknown: The first three-person billion-dollar company will emerge in the next year or so.
“we're going to see the first three person billion doll company emerging in the next year or so”
open Unknown: Companies not actively digitizing, dematerializing, and democratizing their products and services will be dead within 10 years.
“if you're in a company that's not actively digitizing, dematerializing, and democratizing your products and services you will be dead within 10 years time you've got to be doing this you've got to be looking at okay how do we change the game how do we how do we digitize this product that we're creating or how do we dematerialize and democratize it because we need to move the marginal cost down to zero and we need to make it accessible to the world uh and and this is fundamental to what an exponential organization is uh in in the biggest way”
open Unknown: Space travel will become more accessible to private citizens in the future.
“It was our right to make that choice exploration and expanding humans footprint in the universe is important.”
open Unknown: An uprising is needed to address the issue of children's health.
“I think we have to kind of face this and it requires uh you know kind of an uprising”
open Unknown: The speaker predicts the development of a 'heart hotel' with 40 hearts in a hotel behind a robot that live in that ecosystem every day.
“we have 40 hearts in a hotel behind the robot that live in that ecosystem every day”
open Unknown: If China gets a head in AI, the United States might have to take drastic economic actions.
“if China gets a head in AI we might have to take drastic action on the economic side”
open Unknown: The metaverse will see a big wow moment sooner rather than later.
“do you think it's going to happen sooner rather than later”
open Unknown: The first big wow moment for the metaverse will come from a small company, not a big player.
“I don't think the first big wow moment that we see is going to be from one of the big players”
open Unknown: Luckey predicts that VR will become mainstream, not through engineering but through marketing.
“it's not engineering it's a marketing it's a virtual reality headset that kills you when you die in the game”
open Unknown: Luckey predicts that tech companies will eventually work with the military, citing historical precedents.
“imagine if in the runup to World War II if Westinghouse in General Electric had said you know I don't think that we can work with the United States military”
open Unknown: Older individuals can learn new skills and improve their cognitive abilities.
“old dogs as Peter just sort of pointed out are better at learning certain kinds of tricks”
open Unknown: Within the next 4 years, we will have access to extraordinary power from AI and generative AI.
“we're going to have access to such extraordinary power that what is it you want to do you're going to have the tools and the skills what you need more than anything else is that passionate driven mind to say that's where I'm going that you know picking a Target and then reaching out finding other people want to go on that Target with you uh get access to all of the exponential Tech resources that Steve and I wrote about in the future is faster than you think”
open Unknown: Some people will live to be 400 years old.
“if Peter's right some of you are gonna live to be 400 it's exciting”
open Unknown: In the next five years, we will be able to regrow hair, cartilage, and stop muscle and bone loss in older adults.
“there's a bunch of uh of work going on right now uh uh by two or three different approaches to regrow cartilage right um they have shown definitive increase in cartilage uh depth uh and this is from uh wi pathway manipulations and cytic medicines right um uh now the problem is if you have a if you have a total knee replacement you can't regrow it on the metal right it's uh so there's a window I I mean I think in the next five years we are going to regrow hair we are going to regrow cartilage we are going to be to able to start you know there a a few different approaches to to solving both sarcopenia and osteopenia”
open Unknown: By the end of this decade, we should have backup organs for you.
“by the end of this decade we should have backup organs for you right that's just an amazing thought”
open Unknown: Once longevity escape velocity is reached, you will be in a good shape as long as you don't die from something stupid.
“once that happens you know you're in a pretty good shape as long as you don't you know die from something stupid”
open Unknown: People will continue to form tribes or communities that support their health and longevity goals.
“I have an extraordinary tribe around me in my abundance Community.”
open Unknown: Medical systems will become more advanced in 10-20 years, making advanced diagnostics and therapeutics more accessible.
“but there are Medical Systems today Fountain life is one there are others human longevity is another um that are these Advanced Diagnostics and then the Advanced Therapeutics that are there and of course all of that is secondary to what Stephen writes about in our country because you need your Basics first you need that mindset you need sleep you need exercise you need repair you need all of those things uh it's like if there's one thing you can do is exercise if there's two things you can do it's exercise and sleep if there's three things you can do it's exercise sleep and getting rid of sugar in your diet”
open Unknown: Interventions can be effective at any age, even in late 80s and early 90s, to improve quality of life in the second half of life.
“interventions even in your late 80s and early 90s can make a big difference at any level”
open Unknown: The ability for an individual to make a dent in the universe will continue to increase in the future.
“you if you think about what it takes to become an entrepreneur and I'm curious uh for those who are entrepreneurs You Know It uh you thrive on it I'm on my 26th or 27th company uh some really good ones some spectacular failures and everything in between but I think uh I would if I were to Rattle off the list of things first of all it requires uh passion or obsession with a a subject because it's not easy it's much easier just get a job and do what you're told so that's the first thing I think it requires a reasonably high risk tolerance because if you're really doing something on your own that hasn't been done before and you could lose it all and you're not sure where your next paycheck is coming which is some part of the early entrepreneurial Journey um risk is there a and then I think there's a a certain amount of self-confidence I would say uh having an understanding of the problem you want to solve and possibly not required an expertise you're bringing to the table because a true entrepreneur um will not ask how but who right as you've famously said they'll pull together a team what are the other elements that you think of an entrepreneur needs to have well I think the one that I've noticed because I am fascinated in people's history so whenever I meet an entrepreneur I said you know when you think about the entrepreneurial path which is definitely a fork in the road from you know from the way that most people think about their future when did you notice showing up if you had to go back to the earliest age that you were doing things different than your peer group was doing you were doing something different than them and you were you wanted to have a a direct relationship with the marketplace okay you didn't want a buffer of someone who guaranteed you income didn't guarantee you security you wanted to hit the marketplace so uh do you remember I mean I I I I do I do I remember uh I was High School I started a a snow removal service uh in my in uh between my house and my friend's house a few miles away we went door too and sold snow removal for 20 bucks a shot wow um that was good because that that would have been the late 70s I think yeah the problem was we had a record three- foot snowfall on one day and destroyed the business because I couldn't take care of it uh but but you know that was my my first uh effort but my real entrepreneurial Journey was my first year at MIT when I started a um a national international student space organization called students with exploration and development of space and it was this bold crazy Vision that actually came true and I was like wow this is cool and there's like this this element of surprise and Delight when you start a business and people and it was a nonprofit but uh and and it I got it I got hooked I got addicted Ed on the idea of an idea and creating something that people would participate how about you Dan what was yours well I grew up on a farm so uh farming is a very risky entrepreneurial business and our farm failed and um my father um recreated himself at age 60 as a landscaper and had his best he worked right till he was 82 and he had his best business year and he left uh um you know my mother um he died at 83 but he he worked full-time uh when he was um 82 and then he packed it in he packed it in he said I can't do it anymore and my feeling is that the day my father um wasn't doing business he didn't know what he who he was and yeah and he just he said I'm out of here you know uh and that that joy that you talk about the excitement and a lot of it is just the Applause I think Applause really keeps people in the game teamwork um deadlines um you know having to cre create new Solutions but you're doing it face to face with the marketplace so you know you're you're you're really getting the best kind of research for the development of what you're doing and it's check writers check writers are crucial and you want to be paid directly you don't want to go through a third party you don't want to have five levels of coming down to you and what I noticed just to finish this topic that it shows up very early I mean the the Instinct for it shows up um um where it's chosen I I think there are people who are forced into it because of the failure of a a large employer and that happens but I noticed the ones who start early um uh tend to create new things more than the people who are forced into it and um yeah and and you had a very uh divided U not only uh postgraduate but you had you were already added an undergraduate because you have your famous getting your Med medical degree yes it very true I mean when you're hooked as an entrepreneur you you love what you're doing and you're excited to jump out of bed in the morning and go and see what are the results of what I did yesterday and what can I do different today um you know Dan I think it'd be interesting to ask a question and and get your insights and I have a few to add of what don't people realize about entrepreneurship like what are some of the surprises uh that uh um if you haven't”
open Unknown: Increased use of supplements for better sleep quality will become more common.
“I turn to a supplement product by life force called Peak rest now Peak rest has been formulated with an extraordinary scientific depth and background includes everything from long lasting melatonin to magnesium to L glycine to Rosemary extract just to name a few this product is about creating a sense of rest and really giving you the depth and length of sleep that you need for Recovery it's a product I hope you'll try it works for me and I'm sure it will work for you if you're interested go to myli horse.com back SL Peter for your discount”
open Unknown: Elon Musk will make significant decisions based on his first principle thinking mindset and sensing changes in the geopolitical landscape.
“he's sensing something in the wind and the thing is that uh you know uh there's a shift on”
open Unknown: Elon Musk's Twitter will be at least 5x the purchase price when taken public again.
“it'll be at least 5x what he bought it for”
open Unknown: The free market will continue to drive the adoption and evolution of crypto despite regulatory challenges.
“I don't believe in the accredited investor rules and I know that I'm in a minority in that space.”
open Unknown: Continuous glucose monitoring will be part of future medicine.
“this stuff is going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today it's a product that I think uh I'm going to be using for the years ahead and hope you'll consider as well”
open Unknown: Bitcoin will hit a million dollars within a couple of years of hitting a billion wallets with real balances.
“I think that a billion wallets is the magic number to basically say Bitcoin is going to hit a million dollars within a couple of years of hitting a billion wallets with real balances.”
open Unknown: Ethereum will scale to Visa and MasterCard-like numbers over the next couple of years.
“ethereum was upgraded last year it's about to be upgraded again in the spring another major upgrade and these upgrades are super important for ethereum to become the backbone for the future of banking, um you know, gaming, um and and a whole bunch of other you know applications that that that we can talk about all right and and so now there are competing Technologies to ethereum right that offer smart contracts um some of your some of our viewers here maybe have looked at them to buy the tokens but Solana would be one uh cardano would be another one uh and there are others okay and they're all basically those levers that I talked about they're using the levers in different ways to make different trade-offs right um and that Services different communities over time and the competition is great now from a price perspective because all these tokens are publicly available they do kind of tend to move in in in sync right with with the exception that it all kind of moves with network effect”
open Unknown: Ethereum will have applications generating billions of dollars in revenue through decentralized finance (DeFi).
“ethereum is interesting because it has all of these applications that are live now um you know that there's three kind of killer apps that are already basically generating billions of dollars in Revenue so people who uh stake ethereum or process ethereum transactions actually make a lot of money okay and the money comes from three applications the first is defi right or decentralized Finance”
open Unknown: Highest market cap banks in the world will be based on defi rails in 20 years.
“in 20 years the highest market cap banks in the world will be based on defi rails”
open Unknown: The population will reach 10 billion and then have a rapid decrease.
“And that in fact, increasing human population is not a bad thing. And that the numbers today predict we're 8 billion today, we're going to hit 10 billion, but then have a very rapid decrease.”
open Unknown: Education and healthcare will be disrupted by AI and robotics, leading to more affordable and accessible services.
“The best education in the world, the best health care in the world is going to be delivered by an AI.”
open Unknown: The population will peak at around 10 billion by 2060-2080 and then start declining.
“What's going to happen next is that we are probably going to peak at around 10 billion at most in around 2060 or 2080.”
open Unknown: Humanity is taking a break from survival, and the current era offers more time and luxury for personal development and conversation.
“Humanity is finally taking a break from survival.”
open Unknown: Degrowth theory will become increasingly prevalent in media and newspapers.
“I'm worried about it because whenever something stupid comes along, there is no way that any human being could possibly believe this. And 10 or 15 years down the line, sometimes even quicker, it bleeds out of the academia and starts being parodied by politicians and then implemented into practice.”
open Unknown: There might be a push for a four-day work week in Virginia.
“Was it Virginia wants to go to a four-day work week? Could be.”
open Unknown: Energy Vault and Heliogen will continue to scale out their technologies to a larger customer base.
“They're not just ideas, they're demonstrated technologies and now they're just scaling them out to that customer base.”
open Unknown: The field of longevity research will continue to grow and become more prominent in the coming years.
“I can tell you that that this is going to be very big and it is.”
open Unknown: The longevity field will see extraordinary breakthroughs in the next 30 years, adding 30 healthy years to current life expectancy.
“if you can add uh 30 healthy years onto where you are today during those 30 years the breakthroughs we're going to see are extraordinary.”
open Unknown: They will have a strong start in 2023, but it could be a market trap.
“we got to the other side of things and so we will then of course we're off to a very strong start this year I don't know if that's a bull trap it could be a you know a bear Market uh trap making you think it's a bull market or we really could be on the start of something that's more robust than that if you follow the stock trading Almanac uh and you listen to the hirs family who's been writing that almanac for 50 years uh this being the best January the best four or five week start in a long period of time is usually a good sign for the year”
open Unknown: Continuous monitoring of blood glucose levels will become a part of our future of medicine.
“it's going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today”
open Unknown: X has had about 2,000 wh ifs over the last 12 years, with some experiments being closed down.
“we've had about 2,000 wh ifs at X over the last 12 years and believe me there were tears for all of the ones that we closed down”
open Unknown: The Tel Aviv office will be successful if a really exy person goes to open it themselves.
“I was right big asterisk unless a really exy person goes to that office and opens it themselves.”
open Unknown: Google Glass is still being used in professional settings and prototyping for some of their moonshots.
“it is being used in professional settings like doctor's offices and wherever it's actually being used in prototyping for some of our moonshots”
open Unknown: Continuous glucose monitoring and analysis will become a standard part of personal health management in the future.
“this stuff is going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today it's a product that that I'm going to be using for the years ahead and hope you'll consider as well”
open Unknown: Bitcoin's decentralization will be a tailwind for the asset over the coming years.
“ultimately if Bitcoin is to achieve its Vision uh and be this decentralized electronic cash uh kind of system you need to have decentralization of the infrastructure you need to have decentralization of the mining you need to have decentralization of the ownership as well and so I think that ends up being kind of a Tailwind for the asset over the coming years”
open Unknown: The next major adoption of Bitcoin will likely be from financial institutions or corporations.
“I think it will be the governments and before that, we're going to see from the individuals, larger private institutions.”
open Unknown: Increased government interest in CBDCs will lead to more adoption of Bitcoin
“I think people just as they learn more about Central Bank digital currencies they see them in action they realize what some of the powers that have now been granted uh kind of unilaterally to these governments with Central Bank digital currencies are”
open Unknown: Governments will find it too appealing not to play in the field of digital currencies
“I think governments are going to find it far too appealing not to play in this in this field”
open Unknown: Continuous glucose monitoring will become a standard part of personal health management.
“this stuff is going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today”
open Unknown: The macroeconomic situation will change.
“the macroeconomic uh situation in reality is is something that it will change right”
open Unknown: SpaceX's Starship will be successful in its mission to the moon and Mars.
“I wouldn't bet against Elon being able to pull it off in fact I have every faith that he will make it happen.”
open Unknown: The vaccine equivalent will cost tens of dollars per year.
“I think at scale you're talking about something that's you know tens of dollarss um and and uh and can I mean I tell people that my goal is very simple I'd like to vaccinate from subsaharan Africa to Geneva to Santa Monica to New York at the same time um and that's never been done with the best-in-class drug um you know there the the typical thing that happens and is happening now and happened during Co actually is you know the the Richer and the more guns your country had the sooner and the better your drugs were um and and quite frankly that happened within the United States and on a global scale uh and one of the things that I that I feel strongly about is that you know suffering and disease uh don't care how much money you make and they don't care who your dad was and they don't care you know what political party you contribute to um suffering is suffering for the individuals and for their families and I think that uh everyone has has a right and we have an obligation to to serve as much of that population as is humanly possible”
open Unknown: The vaccine will be tested in humans early next year.
“so that's going to be going into humans early next year where we're actually doing that the first trial in uh in Australia”
open Unknown: By 2030, annual vaccines will be available to prevent the onset of Alzheimer's in people as young as 30.
“imagine if instead of waiting until you were 65 or 70 and got diagnosed with with mild Alzheimer's, um you could actually at 40 or at 30 uh be be taking this annual vaccine to uh prevent the onset or delay the onset of Alzheimer's in the first place”
open Unknown: By 2025, vaccines will be available to prevent the growth curve of LDL cholesterol and other chronic illnesses.
“at whatever age is necessary for your physiology at at 30 at 40 um you could be vaccinated against ldlc cholesterol and you could eliminate the the growth curve of that cholesterol”
open Unknown: By 2023, the company will release data on the effectiveness of their Parkinson's vaccine trial.
“the that'll be read out in 2023 as well”
open Unknown: By 2024, the company will have a phase three trial for their universal Co booster.
“anything that anything that can can refrigerate beer or Coca-Cola is good for this yeah so it's a huge milestone it's our it's our it it'll be our first phase three as a company uh and we did that in the UK and in uh in Australia um and we're you know we're excited about it and most importantly you know I'm really proud of the team”
open Unknown: Vaccinating older adults will become a major opportunity for healthspan maintenance.
“the big opportunity for for this is going to be vaccinating all you know 70 80 and 90 year olds to maintain their muscle loss mass and bone loss cuz that's another major killer people fall they break their hip or their pelvis and then they end up in the hospital”
open Unknown: People can accomplish anything if they have a guiding principle and a mission.
“as long as you can look to that as a as a guiding principle and as a North star and as a mission um you know I feel like uh I feel like you can really accomplish anything”
open Unknown: Continuous monitoring of blood glucose levels will become a standard part of personal health management in the future.
“it's going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today”
open Unknown: Technological advancements will enable better quality of healthcare, education, and food sources.
“from everything from cellular agriculture to solar”
open Unknown: In the future, we might be able to take a pill to be as fit as we would otherwise be through exercise.
“we're a long way from that because exercise does a lot of things”
open Unknown: Fusion will come online and reduce energy costs.
“Fusion is going to probably come online we're going to reinvent how we produce food”
open Unknown: In 4-10 years, the collected data from health monitoring businesses will allow solving chronic diseases, cancer, and aging problems.
“but in the next four five 10 years will allow us to solve that problem”
open Unknown: German researchers will develop a form of photosynthesis for animals, including humans, to breathe carbon dioxide instead of oxygen in environments with low oxygen levels.
“German researchers are working on essentially a kind of photosynthesis for animals including humans so that we could breathe carbon dioxide instead of oxygen in environments where there's not a lot of oxygen could be useful for space travel.”
open Unknown: Big changes and transformations in society in the next decade.
“let's just go for the big the big change and and I'm excited about that”
open Unknown: More countries and organizations will experiment with a four-day work week, spending the fifth day on activities that build local resilience or improve community health.
“if we do as many countries and organizations are experimenting with going to the four-day work week and spend that fifth day doing something purposeful that builds local resilience or improves the health and well-being of our community or family I just love that”
open Unknown: Future pandemics will occur, and we need to be prepared for them.
“we'll see this again we'll live through this again”
open Unknown: Crypto market will hit bottom in the next 2-3 months.
“I think we'll hit bottom at some point in the next 2-3 months.”
open Unknown: New bull market in crypto will start in January.
“I think January we start a new bull market in crypto that'll be incredible.”
open Unknown: FTX's model will eventually collapse due to its short-term nature and Ponzi scheme elements.
“At some point that has to come home to roost. And when it does, then the whole thing tumbles down like a house of cards.”
open Unknown: The metabolism of decision-making in democracy will need to adapt to the rapid pace of technological change.
“The challenge that we have with democracy is the metabolism of decision-making and change in a democracy is too slow for the change of technology.”
open Unknown: AI will be able to handle basic tasks by the end of the decade.
“So, let me let me piece this down for everybody listening cuz it's really important.”
open Unknown: AI will massively add to productivity and labor automation in a magical way coming.
“AI will massively add to productivity and labor automation in a magical way coming.”
open Unknown: Increasing productivity will solve the financial concerns around UBI.
“Increasing productivity will solve for one.”
open Unknown: Listeners will take action to define their values and operationalize them.
“Get clear about what you want. The second step now is get clear about what's really important to you. What are your values?”
open Unknown: The system in San Francisco might re-normalize and bring equilibrium back.
“This will be great for San Francisco. It's still the number one tech economy in the world, except for one other place that's very popular, the cloud.”
open Unknown: Exciting new entrepreneurs will soon go public.
“I'm about to see some very exciting new entrepreneurs, very exciting entrepreneur in New York who's starting amazing company called Compass about to go public.”
open Unknown: A major presentation will be recorded and made available for viewing.
“Need to make sure that it's recorded, that they can view it, that there's no interactivity required to have respect for that time.”
open Unknown: Machine translation will advance to the point where people can speak into a phone and have it translated in their own voice in a different language, potentially leading to a unified global internet or private language spheres.
“once that happens you know the obvious you know prediction would be well the language spheres of the world collapse into one thing okay um and and so let me take the obvious prediction then let me do the non-obvious prediction”
open Unknown: The mission will serve as a model for giving others hope for their dreams.
“it's a beautiful model for uh giving others hope for their dreams right it's that's it's everything”
open Unknown: The education system will evolve to better support creativity and critical thinking.
“Urban critiques traditional education systems for fostering conformity over creativity and reasoning. ”
open Unknown: AI will be used to alert users about their cognitive biases.
“I want to turn on my AI's cognitive bias alert and have it listen to my conversations.”
open Unknown: Future hospitals will be able to save cryonics patients.
“hospitals in the future it'll be Child's Play they'll say yeah of course we can save them we we you know there's no problem for us now”
open Unknown: Future technology will allow for the safe un-vitrification and preservation of cryonics patients.
“we've all seen Star Trek so you know absolutely it's coming”
open Unknown: The founder will continue to push for more weightlessness experiences for the public.
“I was going to make this happen there was no way about it.”
open Unknown: Humanity will become a multiplanetary species.
“I think it's a moral and ethical obligation that we have to the future of the human species.”
open Unknown: SpaceX will develop a long-term plan for sustainable rocket propellant generation using renewable energy sources.
“by generating uh propellant using sustainable energy wind and solar”
open Unknown: Robo taxis will be cheaper than buses or subways and will become a preferred mode of transportation.
“people will want it and it'll take you point to point you know even when it's like raining and snow uh and it's uh you know so it's going to be be”
open Unknown: Tunnels will be important for relieving congestion in cities.
“I think tunnels are going to be really important in the future for relieving congestion in cities.”
open Unknown: Robots will be needed to care for the elderly.
“we'll need those robots but you don't want to have the the youth effectively enslaved to take care of the elderly. ”
open Unknown: A scalable and cost-effective way to capture and sequester CO2 will be developed.
“we don't have a scalable way yet to capture and sequester CO2 so that's the background that seems like a reasonable estimate.”
open Unknown: Correctly pricing carbon will lead to a functioning market system.
“if you correctly price something the market system works”
open Unknown: Virtual experiences will be measurably better than being there in person.
“have a virtual experience and event that is measurably better than being there in person so that you much rather willing to go there”
open Unknown: The metaverse will include video games, social networks, workplace chat apps, and crypto.
“Video Games Plus social networks plus workplace chat apps like slack uh plus you know crypto”
open Unknown: AR glasses will be the hardware enablement for the metaverse and other applications.
“the AR glasses which think are the hardware enablement of it sort of like how people talked about mobile prior to the iPhone”
open Unknown: Voice translation technology will become available, allowing people to speak into their phone and have it translated into another language with their own voice.
“once that happens you know the obvious you know prediction would be well the language spheres of the world collapse into one thing okay”
open Unknown: The global internet will likely unify into one language sphere, with the English and Chinese internet spheres becoming less dominant.
“the obvious prediction is right now there's basically two internets there's English internet and the Chinese internet”
open Unknown: Significant advancements in AI, Quantum Computing, and genomics will enable longer lifespans in the future.
“the amount of progress we're going to be seeing is unfathomable in the form of AI and Quantum Computing and and genomics and understanding so it's not that I have to make those changes today I need to live long enough to build the next bridge to live longer and so forth right”
open Unknown: Genetic diseases can be cured within the next 10 years through gene editing.
“I think uh CLE cell patient treated with crisper Gene editing s thriving so in Al live patient um and it looks like the modification is actually taking place”
open Unknown: Most people with autoimmune disease will have profoundly low vitamin D levels, requiring high doses of vitamin D to correct.
“I've had to use 30,000 to 40,000 international units a day from months at a time to get their vitamin D level up.”
open Unknown: AI will continue to improve its predictive capabilities in various domains.
“AI can gather enough data to make predictions of things that you know betting pools assume are kind of random”
open Unknown: With $1,000, investors can invest in long-term sustainable for-profit social enterprises, not only for profit but to help accelerate some purpose or impact.
“you can invest in a a long-term sustainable for-profit social Enterprise and not only invest for for profit but invest to help accelerate some purpose or impact”
open Unknown: The entire manufacturing base of the world is going to be transformed this decade.
“all the small manufacturing businesses are going to start to uh instead of having their own equipment they're going to put stuff on the cloud more and more”
open Unknown: 40% of Fortune 500 companies will be out of business in a decade.
“40% of the Fortune 500 companies are going to be out of business so are you working for one of those companies that's going to be out of business in a 10 in a 10 years and maybe you should be thinking about that”
open Unknown: Ray Kurzweil will guide Google's vision of AI.
“Ray was also just hired by Larry Page to um guide Google's vision of where Google should be going in AI which is pretty extraordinary”
open Unknown: The world is living during the most peaceful time ever in human history.
“we are living during the most peaceful time ever in human history most peaceful time ever your chances of dying a violent death are 500 of what they used to be”