Astro Teller
6 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 6 still open
open Astro Teller: More large companies and countries will set up their own internal 'moonshot factories' modeled on X.
“I expect you'll see a lot more of it in the future”
Your call:
open Astro Teller: AI will shrink the time it takes to de-risk a crazy idea into a provably non-crazy one, letting X raise its audacity and attempt more moonshots in less time.
“I think AI is going to somewhat shrink that time”
Your call:
open Astro Teller: AI will not fully replace humans in X's moonshot process, mainly for problem-selection and community-acceptance roles, for at least the next 10-20 years.
“you need humans as part of that process for at least the next decade or two”
Your call:
open Astro Teller: The team will continue to learn from their failures and successes, even after abandoning a moonshot project.
“the little bits we're like oh shoot this is an awesome moonshot and we're going to have to kill it because right in the middle like the the engine is driven on UNM tanium and nobody can find any UNM tanium I guess we're throwing that Moonshadow away but then if we find some UNM tanium later we hope that someone's like wait you remember that thing that we did before that was like awesome except that we didn't have any unobtanium why don't we go get that out of the freezer”
Your call:
open Astro Teller: Teams will bring back the premortem technique to their companies.
“one of the ways to do that that is to ask them to come up ahead of time with what's going to go wrong if you're really excited you can end up with blinders about what's going to go wrong”
Your call:
open Astro Teller: Once the risk has been removed, the interests of the team and the company align, making stock options viable.
“once a lot of the risk has been removed, because then your interests and their interests haven't diverged”
Your call: