Cathie Wood
29 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 29 still open
open Cathie Wood: Bitcoin will become the most important crypto asset as the world moves to agentic AI, with machines buying from other machines.
“Bitcoin, we believe, is going to be the most important crypto asset, especially as we move to agentic AI.”
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open Cathie Wood: Rather than causing mass joblessness, AI will trigger an entrepreneurial explosion as laid-off and underemployed young people start their own AI-powered companies.
“I think we're going to have an entrepreneurial explosion.”
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open Cathie Wood: AI will cut the cost of discovering and developing a new drug from $2.4 billion (including failures) to $600-700 million, and cut development time from 13 years to 8 years or fewer.
“It's going to cut the cost... from $2.4 billion... to $600 to $700 million.”
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open Cathie Wood: Bitcoin reaches ARK's bull-case price target of $1.5 million per coin.
“That's our bull case, 1.5 million in 2030.”
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open Cathie Wood: Global real GDP growth accelerates to a step-function increase of roughly 2.5x historical trend, implying 7%+ annual growth, driven by convergence of robotics, energy storage, AI, blockchain and multiomic sequencing.
“I think the 7% plus is conservative.”
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open Cathie Wood: US inflation falls below 2% and turns negative.
“I think that uh within the next year we'll see inflation below 2% and heading negative.”
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open Cathie Wood: ARK's disruptive-innovation investment strategies (including flagship ARKK) compound at a 35% annualized rate.
“disruptive innovation we believe is going to compound uh in terms of returns in the market at a 35% annualized rate for the next five years.”
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open Cathie Wood: Digital assets' total market value reaches $28 trillion, roughly the size of the entire 2010 US stock market and comparable to the current US economy.
“digital assets could reach 28 trillion in market value”
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open Cathie Wood: A $100 trillion-valuation company emerges, most likely Tesla (possibly via a merger involving SpaceX), enabled by proprietary-data convergence across Musk's companies.
“I could see, yes, 100 trillion. I think it's going to happen because of convergence.”
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open Cathie Wood: A Robinhood-style tokenized/decentralized private-company ownership model emerges as an alternative to traditional IPOs for late-stage private companies.
“I I think it's very possible in the next in the next three years.”
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open Cathie Wood: Tesla's robotaxi cost structure will run about 50% below Waymo's, allowing Tesla to price around 20 cents per mile at scale.
“we think that Tesla's solution from a cost point of view will be 50% lower than Whimo's... Tesla will be able to price at 20 cents per mile at scale”
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open Cathie Wood: Cumulative global investment in power infrastructure needs to rise to $10 trillion.
“Cumulative investment in global power needs to increase to 10 trillion by 2030.”
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open Cathie Wood: Believes Bitcoin is halfway through a bull market.
“We are, we believe, halfway through this bull market.”
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open Cathie Wood: Apple's partnership with OpenAI could lead to new features and a refresh cycle, but may also limit Apple's ability to adopt new AI-driven ideas due to privacy concerns.
“This is going to be fantastic. One thing it will do is the refresh cycle uh this next one will probably be a good one uh because there's something new new.”
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open Cathie Wood: AGI and digital super intelligence capabilities will increase by two orders of magnitude by 2027.
“A paper is predicting two orders of magnitude increase by 2027, right? A hundredfold increase in capabilities.”
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open Cathie Wood: Small, digital-first, AI-first companies will disrupt traditional retail giants.
“I think there will be a lot of that. That's That's our bet.”
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open Cathie Wood: Bitcoin will reach a million-dollar price by 2030.
“Yes. By 2030? Yes, 2030.”
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open Cathie Wood: Platforms will put spot Bitcoin ETFs on their platforms by the fall of 2025.
“So, I would expect in the fall one or more will put uh its uh put the a spot Bitcoin ETF or many of them on on their platforms and uh I think that will be the next wish then.”
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open Cathie Wood: Tesla will launch robo-taxi services within 2 years.
“we would be shocked if it isn't within 2 years.”
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open Cathie Wood: Tesla's disengagements with full self-driving are so rare that they are worried about human boredom.
“he's worried about boredom, you know, of the the humans who are overseeing this.”
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open Cathie Wood: Elon Musk will not fall this time and will push through to become the first trillionaire.
“He will become the first trillionaire, uh hands down, period.”
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open Cathie Wood: Value-based pricing will be adopted for cures, where insurance companies will pay for every year the disease does not recur.
“We need new business models, absolutely. So that's what happened here.”
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open Cathie Wood: Air taxis will be available soon.
“That will be amazing. I think and it's going to be here sooner than I think people imagine.”
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open Cathie Wood: China will play a big role in the chip and AI world.
“China is going to play big in this in the in the chip world and in the AI world for sure.”
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open Cathie Wood: Google will make a significant announcement in the quantum space related to classical computing.
“And he was telling me that they're about to make some huge announcement in the quantum space uh as it relates to classical computing.”
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open Cathie Wood: Bitcoin's bull case is $1.5 million in 5 years.
“our bull case was $1.5 million in 5 years.”
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open Cathie Wood: A Tesla-SpaceX merger will be announced this year, once SpaceX's valuation is high enough to limit shareholder dilution.
“I think SpaceX need to reach a certain valuation before he pulls the trigger on that... so we do think it's going to happen.”
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open Cathie Wood: Tesla's Optimus humanoid robots will reach meaningful scale a couple of years later than Musk's own late-2028/2029 target, because a humanoid robot is roughly 200,000 times more complex than a robotaxi.
“while Elon says maybe late 28 into 29 scaling, we would put that a couple of years later.”
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open Cathie Wood: ARK's long-standing $1 million bitcoin price target remains unchanged.
“we have not changed our forecast.”
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