Ray Kurzweil
56 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 56 still open
open Ray Kurzweil: Longevity escape velocity (where medical advances add more than a year of life expectancy per year) will be reached.
“Ray's prediction is LEV by 2033.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Artificial general intelligence will be achieved.
“AGI will happen by 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: The Singularity, representing roughly a millionfold increase in human capability through merger with AI, will occur.
“The singularity which really represents a millionfold increase would happen by 2045.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: People with looser definitions of AGI will begin claiming it has arrived a few years before it is broadly, confidently recognized as achieved.
“there'd be a three-year period where people would predict AGIs here... that would start 3 years earlier like 2026 ... going through 2029 when we really will be very confident that AGI is here.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will gain genuine understanding of physics and how different types of things physically interact, via a Google research project.
“Google has announced a project to do that... I think will take I think till 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Affordable general-purpose home robots (able to handle varied household tasks like clearing dinner) will become available at far below today's roughly $100,000 cost.
“people can't spend $100,000 to have a robot clean up after dinner... that I think will come about 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will be making the great majority of decisions, so seamlessly integrated into human decision-making that it becomes irreversible.
“AI is going to be making basically most of the decisions... within a few years.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: It will be impossible to tell the difference between a human-made decision and an AI-made decision.
“you're not going to be able to tell the difference when we have AI... making decisions by 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: A self-bot version of Ray Kurzweil, more capable and more complete in recalling his own ideas than he is, will be released and made available for interviews.
“if you create a selfbot which I'm doing for example with myself, should be available when my new book comes out.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: His autobiography, 'My Exponential Life,' will be published.
“February... my exponential life.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Human level AI will be reached by 2029.
“We're going to reach human level AI by 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: The singularity will happen in 2045.
“The singularity is nearer in 2024 and will happen in 2045.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AGI will be achieved by 2029 and will be an expert in every area.
“I define it as being an expert in every area when there's many different areas that you can be expert in. Uh so that's actually quite uh impressive level and I think we'll get there by 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: We will see as much change in the next 10 years as we did in the last 100 years.
“this decade going forward that we're going to see as much change as we saw in the last 100 years 1925 to 2025”
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open Ray Kurzweil: We will merge with supercomputers and become more intelligent.
“We'll have supercomputers, but we'll also be merging with them. So, we're going to be made a lot more intelligent than we are today.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Employment will change significantly due to AI and automation.
“employment is considered uh equivalent to being able to deal with your own financial needs. Uh that's going to change a lot.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will replace all human organs within a decade or two.
“Certainly within a decade or two, we can replace all of our organs.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AGI will be accepted by everyone by 2029
“by 2029, I think everyone will accept that.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: A major AI/singularity-related milestone will occur around 2029.
“Ray Kurzweil... he's been talking about, you know, 2029 for probably 20 years. And he's been the most accurate forecaster I know.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Nanobots will connect the human brain directly to the cloud, enabling longevity escape velocity, with full technological singularity to follow.
“By 2045, humans will reach the singularity.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: High-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces will be achieved.
“when Ray made his prediction of high bandwidth computer brain computer interface by 2033, I was like, Ray, you got this one wrong... no, he got this one right”
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open Ray Kurzweil: High-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces will arrive.
“predicted by the mid 2030s we would have high bandwidth BCI”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Artificial general intelligence will arrive.
“Ray Kurzweil is famous for predicting many things, including AGI in 2029. And he predicted that in 1999.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: The world will see as much technological and societal change in the ten years from 2025 to 2035 as it saw across the entire century from 1925 to 2025.
“We're going to see as much change in the next 10 years, 2025 to 2035, as we saw between 1925 and 2025.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: High-bandwidth, high-speed brain-computer interfaces will exist.
“One of the predictions he made... was high-speed BCI by the early 2030s. But I've seen it. I've seen it. It's coming.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: The Singularity will occur in 2045.
“The Singularity is predicted to occur in 2045”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Nano robots will expand human intelligence a millionfold by 2045.
“by 2045 we're going to expand our own intelligence a millionfold”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AGI by 2029
“AGI is going to be do you still believe it's 2029 yes and he's actually saying next year yeah so I'm conservative compared to him.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Computation will continue to increase exponentially.
“it's going to continue exactly uh as I found it 45 years ago so”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Large language models will become more capable, potentially coding at a professional level.
“large language models can code already they're not quite the same level as a professional coder but they're going to get there pretty soon so we're going to have to relearn how to apply our new intelligence to create new kinds of capabilities”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will be integrated within humans, leading to speciation.
“we are going to speciate they're going to be those who choose to merge with with AI and become enabled empowered and those who choose not to”
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open Ray Kurzweil: By 2030s, people will be able to communicate from their neocortex to the cloud.
“we'll be able to do what I'm saying which is basically just have our neocortex communicate to the cloud”
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open Ray Kurzweil: By 2032, significant advancements in organ development will lead to better health and longevity.
“so literally all of our organs will be redeveloped uh so they'll be much more reliable”
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open Ray Kurzweil: By the early 2030s, people will get back more than a year of their longevity due to scientific progress.
“by the early 2030s you'll actually get back more than a year from scientific progress”
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open Ray Kurzweil: People will live longer and healthier lives in the next 5 to 10 years.
“the next 5 to 10 years and so I think your advice is is don't die from something stupid between now and then”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Powerful AI could accelerate biological discoveries, potentially giving us 50 to 100 years of progress in the next 5 to 10 years.
“powerful AI could at least 10x the rate of these biological discoveries giving us the next 50 to 100 Years of biological progress in the next 5 to 10 years”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Longevity escape velocity will likely happen by 2030.
“when is that likely to happen Ray Kell's prediction is 2030 right that's six years out”
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open Ray Kurzweil: The Singularity, the point beyond which AI's advancement (roughly equivalent to a "million humans" of intelligence) becomes incomprehensible to us, will occur by 2045.
“2045 it'll be like a million humans and we can't begin to understand that so approximately at that time... we... called it a singularity”
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open Ray Kurzweil: We will reach longevity escape velocity by 2029
“by 2029 for every year that you're alive, Health Tech will add a year or more to your life”
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open Ray Kurzweil: High bandwidth brain-computer interfaces will connect the neocortex to the cloud
“high bandwidth brain-computer interface connecting your neocortex to the cloud so I can think and Google right and I can plug my brain into a robotic Avatar someplace”
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open Ray Kurzweil: We will become a meta intelligence through technology integration
“we're about to put technology into our bodies that connects us to each other and we're about to become a multicellular life form a meta Intelligence on this planet”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Human-level AI will be achieved in 2029.
“We're going to achieve human level AI in 2029.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will be vastly smarter than any human and would overtake us.
“AI will be vastly smarter than any human and would overtake us.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: AI will multiply human intelligence millions-fold by 2045.
“2045 is when I said we will actually multiply our intelligence millions-fold.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Pass the Turing test by 2029.
“We're going to be doing amazing things, harnessing our computers. They're really part of ourselves.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Large language models will eventually surpass human intelligence.
“And these things are going to go way beyond what our brain does. We we see that already.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: By 2029, the entire world will get to net zero and breathe cleaner air and drink safer water.
“by the early '30s we'll be able to actually get all of our energy through renewable sources.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: By 2045, human intelligence will be multiplied millionsfold.
“2045 is when I said we will actually multiply our intelligence millionsfold.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Technological progress will allow us to overcome most of the problems we have in 125 years.
“Even 25 years, I mean, we're going to be able to overcome most of the problems that that we have.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Personal robots will be available within 5-6 years (2029).
“I think within 5 or 6 years, I'd say 2029, we're going to we'll have people that can help us.”
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open Ray Kurzweil: High bandwidth brain-computer interfaces will be available by the early 2030s, around 2033.
“the early 2030s call it 2033”
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open Ray Kurzweil: Human-level AI by 2029
“Human-level AI by 2029. We're seeing the rapid rise of large language models, GPT-3, GPT-4 is coming.”
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